Poly Research & Robotics vs Up or Down BTC

What Poly Research & Robotics does

Free community and toolset for people who write their own Polymarket bots, paid for by a store of historical market data. Poly Research & Robotics, PR&R for short, runs a Discord of about 2,000 members and publishes build guides written to be worked through with an AI coding agent, 36 reports that take apart how individual high-volume accounts trade, a live monitor for the crypto Up or Down windows and a self-hosted bot for those windows that it describes as open source. Guides and reports are open to read and the monitor runs without an account; the bot and the dataset samples need a PR&R account with your Discord linked to it. The store sells one-second order-book history for crypto, weather, tennis and competitive-gaming markets in packs from $5 to $75.

• Discord of about 2,000 members, free to join, with channels for bot development, strategy and data and an in-server AI assistant the site calls PR&R Agent
• 11 build guides with ready-made prompts for a coding agent: a first bot on the BTC 15-minute market, a CLOB V2 migration, a spread-capture bot, a weather-market bot
• 36 trader reports, 30 of them linked to the Polymarket account they take apart
• Crypto Market Monitor in the browser, no account needed: Binance spot and futures, Chainlink, the 60-second TWAP and both order books for the current 5- or 15-minute window, with up to ten wallets plotted on the chart; labelled early beta
• PR&R Up/Down Crypto Bot, self-hosted with paper trading on by default: it buys the near-certain side at 94–99¢ in the last three minutes of a window and holds to payout, or buys inside a price band you set and sells at a fixed gain; a stop loss is included and off by default

• The research holds up where we could test it. We rebuilt the worked example in the SLIP-ME report from Polymarket's data API and got the same market, the same 16 fills and the same prices. The site says the 15-minute windows moved to a 60-second TWAP on Aug 7, 2026 and that the 5-minute ones ran a 30-second average first; the rule text on Polymarket's own markets shows that sequence, with the 5-minute change at midnight UTC on Aug 14, a day after the date the site gives. The monitor, run on Oct 5, 2026, showed Binance's price to the cent and the same best bid and ask as Polymarket's order-book API.
• Read the profit figures in the older reports as before fees. The SLIP-ME report books its example market at +$132.66; the account redeemed $1,003.87, not $1,020, because Polymarket takes the taker fee out of the shares, so the market made $116.54. The report prices in gas, which Polymarket's relayer pays, and never mentions that fee. It credits the account with $111,822 in 23 days and says it “quietly prints money”; that figure follows Polymarket's profile chart, which is drawn before taker fees. Polymarket's all-time leaderboard has the same account at −$16,414, and the fee refunds it ever received come to $687. A second account, profiled in two reports as profitable, is about $33,300 down after fees and refunds. For others the gap is large without turning negative: Bonereaper shows $1.46 million on the chart and about $456,000 after fees and refunds. Twenty-seven of the 36 reports never mention fees; the four published since mid-August work them in.
• Free here means an account and a linked Discord. The dataset samples and the bot download both need one, and the bot's own documentation says live trading needs it too, which is an odd requirement for a bot described as self-hosted and open source. We found no public repository for it. The site sets itself against “locked Discords”; its own downloads are locked to a Discord link. The same documentation lists an EU VPN or an AWS relay as required because “Polymarket blocks non-EU connections”. That is not Polymarket's list: new positions are refused from the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, France and Italy among about forty countries and regions, most of the world is open, and everyone who trades attests that they are not using a VPN to get round a restriction.