Polyfactual vs Probably
Polyfactual and Probably are both filed under Platforms & Tools and Sports Trading and 3 more. Both are trading platforms, and both are priced on its own site. Below: the facts side by side, where the two actually differ, and when each one is the better pick.
AI research and trading suite for prediction markets, and a Polymarket grant recipient.
Compared with Probably
Social prediction-market trading platform powered by Polymarket.
Compared with PolyfactualAt a glance
| Fact | Polyfactual | Probably |
|---|---|---|
| Type | Trading platform | Trading platform |
| Category | Platforms & Tools | Platforms & Tools |
| Also listed in | Sports Trading, Politics & Elections, Crypto Markets, Sentiment / News | Market Making, Sports Trading, Politics & Elections, Crypto Markets, Sentiment / News |
| Pricing | Pricing on site | Pricing on site |
| Price | see site | waitlist |
| Risk rating | Medium risk | Medium risk |
| Markets | Politics, Crypto, Sports and 1 more | Politics, Crypto, Sports and 1 more |
| Source | Source not published | Source not published |
| Runs in Telegram | No | No |
| Listed since | Jul 3, 2026 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Highlighted rows differ
Key differences
- Both list Politics and Crypto and 1 more; Polyfactual adds Geopolitics; Probably adds Prediction markets.
- Only Probably is filed under Market Making.
Choose Polyfactual if…
- you trade Geopolitics
Choose Probably if…
- you trade Prediction markets
- your focus is Market Making
What Polyfactual does
AI research and trading suite for prediction markets, and a Polymarket grant recipient. Bundles deep AI research with sentiment, risk and confidence scoring, a wallet-free trading terminal (Facts.trade), an intelligence terminal (FactsBase) and a Chrome extension that adds buy/hold/avoid calls on Polymarket.
Features- Deep AI research with sentiment, risk & confidence scoring
- Facts.trade terminal — trade via email, no wallet extension
- FactsBase intelligence terminal aggregating 30+ data sources
- Chrome extension with buy/hold/avoid calls on Polymarket
- Facts Pro developer API (700K+ requests)
- Runs AI research on each market with sentiment, risk and confidence scores.
- Aggregates 30+ intelligence sources into a single research terminal.
- Surfaces buy/hold/avoid recommendations directly on Polymarket pages.
What Probably does
Social prediction-market trading platform powered by Polymarket. Trade outcomes across topics, earn rewards and play alongside friends. Currently invite-only with a waitlist for early access.
Features- Trade prediction markets powered by Polymarket
- Rewards for activity and engagement
- Social play with friends
- Early-access waitlist
- Runs on Polymarket infrastructure for liquidity and settlement.
- Adds a social and rewards layer on top of prediction trading.
- Currently onboarding via an early-access waitlist.
More head-to-heads
Every fact on this page is taken from the two listings as their authors publish them; POLBOTS verifies neither performance nor claims and has no stake in either tool. Nothing here is financial advice.