Neat-Brushfire
Polymarket trader · Sports · since May 2025
Neat-Brushfire has made $265K on Polymarket since May 2025, almost all of it in sports markets.
It is trading now — about 19.5 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 797 markets traded so far.
73% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Pirates vs. Rockies”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Neat-Brushfire's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | −$35K | +$275K |
| Oct 2026 | +$125K | +$310K |
| Sep 2026 | +$65K | +$186K |
| Aug 2026 | +$5.4K | +$121K |
| Jul 2026 | +$164K | +$115K |
| Jun 2026 | +$67K | −$49K |
| May 2026 | −$12K | −$116K |
| Apr 2026 | −$24K | −$104K |
| Mar 2026 | −$14K | −$80K |
| Feb 2026 | −$10K | −$66K |
| Jan 2026 | −$1.4K | −$55K |
| Dec 2025 | −$12K | −$54K |
| Nov 2025 | −$7.0K | −$42K |
| Oct 2025 | +$182K | −$35K |
| Sep 2025 | +$271K | −$217K |
| Aug 2025 | −$315K | −$488K |
| Jul 2025 | −$286K | −$173K |
| Jun 2025 | +$78K | +$113K |
| May 2025 | +$34K | +$34K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy Neat-Brushfire?
Not copyable: one big win.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 31, 2026
- Not a market maker83% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed19.5 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 5% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 73% of all-time profit
- Enough markets797 markets traded
- Winning lately+$146K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$265K all-time
One big win. 73% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Pirates vs. Rockies”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Limit orders. 83% of its fills rest on the book. It gets its own price; a copier chasing with market orders pays the spread.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it was $833K below its peak — more than its peak profit.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “one big win”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How Neat-Brushfire trades
- Fills a day
- 19.5
- Resting (maker) fills
- 83%
- Median buy price
- 45¢
- Median fill
- $19
- Fills that sell
- 0%
- Open positions
- 5
- Best market's share
- 73%
- Worst drawdown
- $833K
- Weeks in profit
- 69%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Sports100% of gains+$275K
- Finance<1% of losses−$33
- Economics1% of losses−$182
- Politics43% of losses−$8.5K
- Culture56% of losses−$11K
Biggest wins
- Pirates vs. RockiesRockies+$193K
- Red Sox vs. YankeesYankees+$145K
- Blue Jays vs. RedsBlue Jays+$140K
- Tigers vs. PhilliesPhillies+$102K
- Twins vs. YankeesYankees+$94K
Biggest losses
- White Sox vs. RockiesRockies−$107K
- Pirates vs. CubsPirates−$84K
- Brewers vs. PadresPadres−$53K
- Rays vs. AngelsAngels−$47K
- Nationals vs. AngelsAngels−$46K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 0.9¢ | 0.8¢ | $375 | −$75 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 1.4¢ | 0.9¢ | $119 | −$77 |
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes | 25¢ | 26¢ | $34 | +$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 11¢ | 84¢ | $11 | +$9 |
| Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?No | 9¢ | 1.1¢ | $1 | −$8 |
Latest fills
- BuySpread: Duke (-7.5)Duke$39 at 46¢ · Oct 31, 2026
- BuySpread: Marshall (-3.5)Marshall$9 at 46¢ · Oct 31, 2026
- BuySpread: Marshall (-3.5)Marshall$5 at 46¢ · Oct 31, 2026
- BuySpread: Marshall (-3.5)Marshall$161 at 46¢ · Oct 31, 2026
- BuySpread: Marshall (-3.5)Marshall$1.9K at 46¢ · Oct 30, 2026
- BuySpread: Marshall (-3.5)Marshall$21 at 46¢ · Oct 30, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsNeat-Brushfire fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.

PolyGun
Telegram bot for trading Polymarket without a browser: browse markets, buy and sell instantly, set limit orders, copy wallets and track the portfolio from one chat.

Olympus
Polymarket web terminal built around copy trading that keeps running on Olympus's servers after you close the tab.

PolyTraderBot
Six self-hosted Polymarket bots from one developer, sold separately at $10 a month each and delivered as full source with a browser dashboard, tests and a Docker setup for your own PC or VPS.
Neat-Brushfire: questions people ask
- How much has Neat-Brushfire made on Polymarket?
- Neat-Brushfire has made $265K on Polymarket since May 2025, almost all of it in sports markets: +$265K all-time on $26.0M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$37K.
- How has Neat-Brushfire's profit changed over time?
- Neat-Brushfire's cumulative PnL went from −$45 on May 9, 2025 to +$275K on Nov 1, 2026. It peaked at +$310K on Oct 25, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$682K, from Aug 3, 2025 to Sep 14, 2025. Best month: Sep 2025 (+$271K); worst: Aug 2025 (−$315K). Up in 9 of 19 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is Neat-Brushfire worth copying?
- Not copyable: one big win. 73% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Pirates vs. Rockies”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does Neat-Brushfire trade?
- Mostly sports markets — 100% of its profit. It has traded 797 markets; its median buy is at 45¢ and its median fill is $19.
- How do I copy Neat-Brushfire's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x2ce8505aa641791eb8460f6ac6bf5c0511e34527. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 1, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.