Flamboyant-Warming
Polymarket trader · Sports · since April 2026
Flamboyant-Warming has made $336K on Polymarket since April 2026, mostly in sports and politics markets.
It is trading now — about 820 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 48,132 markets traded so far.
100% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 33% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Flamboyant-Warming's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | +$35K | +$343K |
| Sep 2026 | +$18K | +$308K |
| Aug 2026 | +$14K | +$290K |
| Jul 2026 | +$156K | +$276K |
| Jun 2026 | +$83K | +$120K |
| May 2026 | +$28K | +$37K |
| Apr 2026 | +$9.4K | +$9.2K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy Flamboyant-Warming?
Not copyable: market maker.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 29, 2026
- Not a market maker100% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed820 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 33% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 3% of all-time profit
- Enough markets48,132 markets traded
- Winning lately+$62K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$336K all-time
Market maker. 100% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 33% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Speed trader. 820 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “market maker”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How Flamboyant-Warming trades
- Fills a day
- 820
- Resting (maker) fills
- 100%
- Median buy price
- 50¢
- Median fill
- $19
- Fills that sell
- 41%
- Open positions
- 204
- Best market's share
- 3%
- Worst drawdown
- $22K
- Weeks in profit
- 85%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Sports44% of gains+$140K
- Politics32% of gains+$100K
- Weather13% of gains+$40K
- Finance8% of gains+$27K
- Economics2% of gains+$6.7K
- Mentions1% of gains+$3.8K
- Tech17% of losses−$1.4K
- Culture40% of losses−$3.2K
- Crypto43% of losses−$3.4K
Biggest wins
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes+$8.9K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No+$8.9K
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes+$8.8K
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes+$6.7K
- Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes+$5.9K
Biggest losses
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?No−$6.6K
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No−$6.4K
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?No−$4.8K
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No−$4.3K
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No−$4.3K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 42¢ | 95¢ | $8.2K | +$4.6K |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No | 87¢ | 98¢ | $4.6K | +$508 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | 68¢ | 99¢ | $3.8K | +$1.2K |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | 71¢ | 82¢ | $3.1K | +$451 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?No | 75¢ | 96¢ | $3.0K | +$639 |
Latest fills
- SellWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes$1 at 6.1¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- BuyWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes$7 at 15¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- BuyWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$243 at 23¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- BuyWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$5 at 24¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- BuyWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$35 at 23¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- BuyWill Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?No$21 at 97¢ · Oct 29, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsFlamboyant-Warming fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.

Whalidate
Verified PartnerCopy trading for Polymarket that starts with the question a profit leaderboard skips: how did the wallet make its money?

PolyWin
Verified PartnerTelegram bot that puts the whole Polymarket workflow in one chat: copy trading, two snipers, backtests and AI trader discovery.

Infinity
Verified PartnerA full trading terminal inside Telegram, covering two venues at once: Polymarket prediction markets on the live CLOB order book, and Hyperliquid perps and spot — plus copy-trading on top.
Flamboyant-Warming: questions people ask
- How much has Flamboyant-Warming made on Polymarket?
- Flamboyant-Warming has made $336K on Polymarket since April 2026, mostly in sports and politics markets: +$336K all-time on $25.1M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$240K.
- How has Flamboyant-Warming's profit changed over time?
- Flamboyant-Warming's cumulative PnL went from −$193 on Apr 24, 2026 to +$343K on Oct 29, 2026. It closed at its high, with no drawdown deeper than 5% of its scale. Best month: Jul 2026 (+$156K). Up in 7 of 7 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is Flamboyant-Warming worth copying?
- Not copyable: market maker. 100% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 33% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does Flamboyant-Warming trade?
- Mostly sports markets — 44% of its profit. It has traded 48,132 markets; its median buy is at 50¢ and its median fill is $19.
- How do I copy Flamboyant-Warming's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xc7d02944a76b9f83b199e9090ecc92c82d241f8a. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 29, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.