Stable-Armament
Polymarket trader · Crypto · since September 2025
Stable-Armament has lost $397K on Polymarket since September 2025.
It is trading now — about 14.5 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 784 markets traded so far.
−$397K all-time: a good stretch on a losing record.
Stable-Armament's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | −$44K | −$247K |
| Sep 2026 | −$361K | −$203K |
| Aug 2026 | −$148K | +$158K |
| Jul 2026 | +$288K | +$306K |
| Jun 2026 | −$482 | +$18K |
| May 2026 | +$44K | +$18K |
| Apr 2026 | +$24K | −$26K |
| Mar 2026 | +$13K | −$50K |
| Feb 2026 | −$47K | −$63K |
| Jan 2026 | −$16K | −$16K |
| Dec 2025 | +$1.7K | −$352 |
| Nov 2025 | +$6.1K | −$2.1K |
| Oct 2025 | −$730 | −$8.2K |
| Sep 2025 | −$4.9K | −$7.4K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy Stable-Armament?
Not copyable: losing overall.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 27, 2026
- Not a market maker65% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed14.5 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 1% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketNo profit to concentrate
- Enough markets784 markets traded
- Winning lately−$574K over 90 days
- Winning overall−$397K all-time
Not winning lately. −$574K over the last 90 days. Whatever worked before isn't working now.
Losing overall. −$397K all-time: a good stretch on a losing record.
Limit orders. 65% of its fills rest on the book. It gets its own price; a copier chasing with market orders pays the spread.
Down this month. −$49K over the last 30 days.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it was $601K below its peak — more than its peak profit.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “losing overall”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How Stable-Armament trades
- Fills a day
- 14.5
- Resting (maker) fills
- 65%
- Median buy price
- 48¢
- Median fill
- $34
- Fills that sell
- 3%
- Open positions
- 17
- Best market's share
- —
- Worst drawdown
- $601K
- Weeks in profit
- 54%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Crypto99% of gains+$30K
- Politics1% of gains+$396
- Culture<1% of losses−$394
- Finance<1% of losses−$645
- Tech1% of losses−$1.3K
- Economics43% of losses−$56K
- Sports55% of losses−$71K
Biggest wins
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes+$164K
- US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonAlexander Zverev+$48K
- National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur FilsRafael Jodar+$37K
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AG2+$37K
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFURIA+$35K
Biggest losses
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSpirit−$45K
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsVitality−$32K
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes−$31K
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresSan Francisco Giants−$31K
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Natus Vincere−$28K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 77¢ | 96¢ | $62K | +$12K |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageTheMongolz | 59¢ | 38¢ | $11K | −$6.4K |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 5.9¢ | 5¢ | $8.7K | −$1.6K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | 34¢ | 37¢ | $3.4K | +$238 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 1.6¢ | 2¢ | $3.4K | +$521 |
Latest fills
- BuyMap Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere$3 at 55¢ · Oct 27, 2026
- BuyCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageTheMongolz$12K at 59¢ · Oct 27, 2026
- BuyCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageTheMongolz$89 at 59¢ · Oct 27, 2026
- BuyCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageTheMongolz$9 at 59¢ · Oct 27, 2026
- BuyCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageTheMongolz$144 at 59¢ · Oct 27, 2026
- BuyCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageTheMongolz$5.5K at 58¢ · Oct 27, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsStable-Armament fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
Stand
Advanced trading terminal and aggregator for prediction markets. Pulls Polymarket and Kalshi into one trade-first interface with live volume, liquidity and open interest, whale copy-trading, TP/SL and stop orders, and an Octobox that watches up to eight markets at once. Non-custodial via Privy, no fees on manual orders.
PredictEngine
No-code bot builder that hosts and runs Polymarket strategies for you. You describe a rule in plain English — “buy BTC UP when it dips below $0.40” — or pick a template, and the platform writes the bot, provisions a dedicated Polygon wallet, signs the orders and keeps it running 24/7 on its own infrastructure, with a dashboard, a Discord bot and a mobile terminal to watch it. Templates cover single-side entries, cross-market arbitrage, copy trading that mirrors chosen wallets, market making and sports value against bookmaker lines; a marketplace lets users publish bots for others to run. The free plan runs five live bots; $9 a month unlocks the AI builder, 25 bots and backtesting; $49 adds an unlimited builder and 25% lower trading fees. The docs list Limitless and Predict.fun alongside Polymarket. The wallet is generated and encrypted on their side and the private key is exportable at any time.
Polyspect
Copy-trading research platform for Polymarket. Ranks 17,000+ traders on six real performance metrics — EV per trade, profit factor, reward/risk, max drawdown, ROI and win rate — reconstructed from raw on-chain fills, then lets you paper-trade their strategies before going live.
Stable-Armament: questions people ask
- How much has Stable-Armament made on Polymarket?
- Stable-Armament has lost $397K on Polymarket since September 2025: −$397K all-time on $21.8M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: −$49K.
- How has Stable-Armament's profit changed over time?
- Stable-Armament's cumulative PnL went from −$2.5K on Sep 3, 2025 to −$247K on Oct 28, 2026. It peaked at +$306K on Jul 29, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$553K, from Jul 29, 2026 to Oct 28, 2026. Best month: Jul 2026 (+$288K); worst: Sep 2026 (−$361K). Up in 6 of 14 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is Stable-Armament worth copying?
- Not copyable: losing overall. −$397K all-time: a good stretch on a losing record. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does Stable-Armament trade?
- Mostly crypto markets — 99% of its profit. It has traded 784 markets; its median buy is at 48¢ and its median fill is $34.
- How do I copy Stable-Armament's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xf5592765133941c40c77e52bc56bbe7ec167f462. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 28, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.