DFV2
Polymarket trader · Crypto · since January 2026
DFV2 has made $30K on Polymarket since January 2026, almost all of it in crypto markets.
It is trading now — about 9.4 fills a day, mostly taking the best available price, with 296 markets traded so far.
75% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
DFV2's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | +$38K | +$65K |
| Sep 2026 | −$364 | +$27K |
| Aug 2026 | −$58K | +$27K |
| Jul 2026 | +$9.0K | +$85K |
| Jun 2026 | −$5.4K | +$76K |
| May 2026 | +$16K | +$82K |
| Apr 2026 | +$16K | +$66K |
| Mar 2026 | +$4.2K | +$50K |
| Feb 2026 | +$46K | +$46K |
| Jan 2026 | $0 | $0 |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy DFV2?
Not copyable: one big win.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 29, 2026
- Not a market maker0% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed9.4 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 0% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 75% of all-time profit
- Enough markets296 markets traded
- Winning lately−$21K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$30K all-time
One big win. 75% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Not winning lately. −$21K over the last 90 days. Whatever worked before isn't working now.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it gave back $73K, 82% of its peak profit.
Buys near-certainties. Median buy at 93¢: many small wins, and one miss costs a lot of them.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “one big win”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How DFV2 trades
- Fills a day
- 9.4
- Resting (maker) fills
- 0%
- Median buy price
- 93¢
- Median fill
- $509
- Fills that sell
- 15%
- Open positions
- 45
- Best market's share
- 75%
- Worst drawdown
- $73K
- Weeks in profit
- 73%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days; maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Crypto100% of gains+$30K
Biggest wins
Biggest losses
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 93¢ | 97¢ | $119K | +$4.7K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 92¢ | 93¢ | $87K | +$274 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $61K | −$62 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?No | 95¢ | 97¢ | $50K | +$1.1K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 85¢ | 86¢ | $49K | +$362 |
Latest fills
- BuyWill Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No$292 at 91¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- SellWill Hyperliquid reach $140 by December 31, 2026?No$188 at 95¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- BuyWill Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?No$5.8K at 92¢ · Oct 28, 2026
- SellEthereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No$5.0K at 98¢ · Oct 28, 2026
- BuyWill Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?No$258 at 92¢ · Oct 28, 2026
- BuyWill Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?No$425 at 88¢ · Oct 28, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsDFV2 fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
Kreo
Telegram bots for Polymarket and Kalshi built around copy trading. Each copy task follows one wallet with its own buy mode — fixed amount, exact copy, a percentage of the leader's size or portfolio-weighted — under…
PolyGun
Telegram bot for trading Polymarket without a browser: browse markets, buy and sell instantly, set limit orders, copy wallets and track the portfolio from one chat.
Olympus
Polymarket web terminal built around copy trading that keeps running on Olympus's servers after you close the tab.
DFV2: questions people ask
- How much has DFV2 made on Polymarket?
- DFV2 has made $30K on Polymarket since January 2026, almost all of it in crypto markets: +$30K all-time on $3.5M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$32K.
- How has DFV2's profit changed over time?
- DFV2's cumulative PnL went from $0 on Jan 31, 2026 to +$65K on Oct 29, 2026. It peaked at +$87K on Aug 13, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$60K, from Aug 13, 2026 to Sep 24, 2026. Best month: Feb 2026 (+$46K); worst: Aug 2026 (−$58K). Up in 6 of 10 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is DFV2 worth copying?
- Not copyable: one big win. 75% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does DFV2 trade?
- Mostly crypto markets — 100% of its profit. It has traded 296 markets; its median buy is at 93¢ and its median fill is $509.
- How do I copy DFV2's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x4f315c1f2fcfbcbccc31fa28ae086babf309efa3. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 29, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.