elmcap2
Polymarket trader · Economics · since April 2023
elmcap2 has made $2.1M on Polymarket since April 2023, mostly in economics and politics markets.
It is trading now — about 82.4 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 2,175 markets traded so far.
Over the last 12 days it made +0.6% on the money it put in; a copier one to two minutes behind, paying the spread and the taker fee, would have made +0.1%.
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy elmcap2?
Worth copying: a copier one to two minutes behind kept 15% of its 30-day return.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 15, 2026
- Not a market maker95% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed82.4 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 5% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 10% of all-time profit
- Enough markets2,175 markets traded
- Winning lately+$158K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$2.1M all-time
- Survives the copy delayA copier 1–2 min behind: +0.1% over 12 days
Limit orders. 95% of its fills rest on the book. It gets its own price; a copier chasing with market orders pays the spread.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
Its last 1,000 fills over 12 days, replayed twice: at the prices elmcap2 got, and at the price a copier would get a little later — the market's midpoint plus half a typical spread, plus the taker fee. Same sizes, same exits; open positions valued at today's price (12% of the money went into markets that have already resolved).
| Who | Return | PnL | Paid extra |
|---|---|---|---|
| elmcap2 | +0.6% | +$3.5K | — |
| Copier, under a minute behind | 0.0% | +$71 | +0.6¢ / share |
| Copier, 1–2 minutes behind | +0.1% | +$528 | +0.5¢ / share |
| Copier, 5–6 minutes behind | +0.1% | +$781 | +0.5¢ / share |
Copier PnL is at elmcap2's size, so compare the returns, not the dollars. Not modelled — all in the copier's favour: its own price impact, partial fills, and fills it would have missed.
How elmcap2 trades
- Fills a day
- 82.4
- Resting (maker) fills
- 95%
- Median buy price
- 82¢
- Median fill
- $19
- Fills that sell
- 2%
- Open positions
- 81
- Best market's share
- 10%
- Worst drawdown
- $120K
- Weeks in profit
- 88%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Economics+$960K
- Politics+$787K
- Crypto+$155K
- Culture+$146K
- Mentions+$23K
- Tech+$21K
- Finance+$14K
- Sports+$3.4K
- Weather+$823
Biggest wins
- Will Biden finish his term?Yes+$202K
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes+$176K
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes+$100K
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No+$82K
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes+$67K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 50¢ | 78¢ | $3.5M | +$1.3M |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 50¢ | 22¢ | $997K | −$1.3M |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | 93¢ | 96¢ | $327K | +$12K |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $254K | −$391 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $208K | +$815 |
Latest fills
- BuyWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No$32 at 97¢ · Oct 15, 2026
- BuyWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No$9 at 97¢ · Oct 15, 2026
- BuyWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No$15K at 100¢ · Oct 15, 2026
- BuyWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No$39 at 97¢ · Oct 15, 2026
- BuyWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No$10 at 97¢ · Oct 15, 2026
- BuyWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No$36 at 97¢ · Oct 15, 2026
Copy elmcap2 with
All copy-trading botsAny tool that follows a wallet address can mirror this one — paste 0xed10…d2e5 and cap the size of every trade.

Kreo
Telegram bots for Polymarket and Kalshi built around copy trading. Each copy task follows one wallet with its own buy mode — fixed amount, exact copy, a percentage of the leader's size or portfolio-weighted — under minimum and maximum buy, daily, total and per-market spend caps, category and price-range filters, slippage tolerance, stop-loss and take-profit, a monitoring mode that watches without buying, and a schedule; bulk settings edit dozens of tasks at once. Auto Trade runs rule-based entries on the crypto Up/Down windows and on sports, with presets, an auto-hedge that takes the other side when the pair is net-positive after fees, and up to 10x on selected markets. Around it: a wallet tracker, unusual-activity and new-market alerts, charts, parlays, and a backtest and portfolio lookup. Polymarket wallets are Gnosis Safes secured by Privy enclaves with the owner key exportable; deposits by crypto or card. Fees follow a bell curve per share, from 0.3¢ at the extremes to 1.75¢ at 50/50, with cashback tiers.

PolyGun
Telegram bot for trading Polymarket without a browser: browse markets, buy and sell instantly, set limit orders, copy wallets and track the portfolio from one chat. On /start the bot generates a Polygon wallet for you, and deposits auto-bridge from Polygon, Solana, Ethereum and BNB. Copy trading follows any wallet and mirrors its entries and exits under your own settings, a Smart Wallets tab lists the most-copied addresses, and shareable P&L cards are built in. PolyGun charges a flat 1% on every buy and sell, sponsors gas, and pays referrers a share of fees. It sits on one of the larger Telegram communities in the space — the Prediction Desk group behind it had 25,635 members when we checked — and Polymarket's own builders Data API attributes $117.6M to it all-time across 9,905 users, though the monthly run rate has fallen from $18.3M in April to $2.6M in August and $0.8M in the first half of September.

Olympus
Polymarket web terminal built around copy trading that keeps running on Olympus's servers after you close the tab. Every followed wallet gets its own ratio, trade and market caps, odds, liquidity and volume filters, a price-deviation guard and a limit mode that buys at the leader's own fill price, with stop-loss, take-profit, counter-trading and combo copying; a backtest replays the leader's history through those exact settings first, and separate trading wallets keep strategies apart. Around the copier: a manual terminal with a sports hub, crypto price windows, combos and TP/SL on any position; Bonds, which ranks every outcome priced 97¢ or more by what it pays after fees, and Autobond, which buys them inside a budget and a loss limit; an LP Rewards desk that places maker orders on Polymarket's reward markets; Polymarket Perps to 20x and Dimes Multiply positions to 10x; and a REST trading API with wallet-scoped keys. The base fee is 0.75% per executed trade, sliding toward zero at extreme prices. Built by the team behind SOL Decoder and Valhalla.
elmcap2: questions people ask
- How much has elmcap2 made on Polymarket?
- elmcap2 has made $2.1M on Polymarket since April 2023, mostly in economics and politics markets: +$2.1M all-time on $297.6M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$53K.
- Is elmcap2 worth copying?
- Worth copying: a copier one to two minutes behind kept 15% of its 30-day return. We replayed its last 12 days of fills at the price a copier would get one to two minutes later, with the spread and the taker fee: +0.1% on money spent, against the wallet's own +0.6%. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does elmcap2 trade?
- Mostly economics markets — 46% of its profit. It has traded 2,175 markets; its median buy is at 82¢ and its median fill is $19.
- How do I copy elmcap2's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 15, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.