muchobliged
Polymarket trader · Sports · since June 2026
muchobliged has made $2.0M on Polymarket since June 2026, almost all of it in sports markets.
It last traded on Jul 10, 2026, 97 days before this check, after 21 markets.
Even when it traded, it wasn't copyable — 120% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy muchobliged?
Not copyable: stopped trading.
- Still tradingLast fill Jul 10, 2026
- Not a market maker92% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed0 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in — of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 120% of all-time profit
- Enough markets21 markets traded
- Winning lately$0 over 90 days
- Winning overall+$2.0M all-time
Stopped trading. No fill since Jul 10, 2026 — 97 days before this check. There is nothing left to copy.
One big win. 120% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Too few markets. Only 21 markets traded — too few to tell skill from luck.
Not winning lately. $0 over the last 90 days. Whatever worked before isn't working now.
Limit orders. 92% of its fills rest on the book. It gets its own price; a copier chasing with market orders pays the spread.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it gave back $5.1M, 71% of its peak profit.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “stopped trading”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How muchobliged trades
- Fills a day
- 0
- Resting (maker) fills
- 92%
- Median buy price
- —
- Median fill
- —
- Fills that sell
- —
- Open positions
- 0
- Best market's share
- 120%
- Worst drawdown
- $5.1M
- Weeks in profit
- 50%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days; maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Sports+$2.0M
Biggest wins
- England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over+$2.4M
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?No+$1.7M
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Under+$820K
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Egypt+$804K
- Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over+$767K
Latest fills
- BuySpread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium$81 at 66¢ · Jul 10, 2026
- BuySpread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium$7.4K at 66¢ · Jul 10, 2026
- BuySpread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium$404 at 66¢ · Jul 10, 2026
- BuySpread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium$3.3K at 66¢ · Jul 10, 2026
- BuySpread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium$4.5K at 66¢ · Jul 10, 2026
- BuySpread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium$141K at 66¢ · Jul 10, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsmuchobliged fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
PredictEngine
No-code bot builder that hosts and runs Polymarket strategies for you. You describe a rule in plain English — “buy BTC UP when it dips below $0.40” — or pick a template, and the platform writes the bot, provisions a dedicated Polygon wallet, signs the orders and keeps it running 24/7 on its own infrastructure, with a dashboard, a Discord bot and a mobile terminal to watch it. Templates cover single-side entries, cross-market arbitrage, copy trading that mirrors chosen wallets, market making and sports value against bookmaker lines; a marketplace lets users publish bots for others to run. The free plan runs five live bots; $9 a month unlocks the AI builder, 25 bots and backtesting; $49 adds an unlimited builder and 25% lower trading fees. The docs list Limitless and Predict.fun alongside Polymarket. The wallet is generated and encrypted on their side and the private key is exportable at any time.
Polyspect
Copy-trading research platform for Polymarket. Ranks 17,000+ traders on six real performance metrics — EV per trade, profit factor, reward/risk, max drawdown, ROI and win rate — reconstructed from raw on-chain fills, then lets you paper-trade their strategies before going live.
Polytragent
AI research agent for Polymarket. Send any event URL over Telegram and it analyzes every sub-market, cross-references forecasters like Manifold, reviews its own past accuracy and returns edge recommendations in seconds — plus whale tracking and manual copy-trading.
muchobliged: questions people ask
- How much has muchobliged made on Polymarket?
- muchobliged has made $2.0M on Polymarket since June 2026, almost all of it in sports markets: +$2.0M all-time on $31.1M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: —.
- Is muchobliged worth copying?
- Not copyable: stopped trading. No fill since Jul 10, 2026 — 97 days before this check. There is nothing left to copy. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does muchobliged trade?
- Mostly sports markets — 100% of its profit. It has traded 21 markets; its median buy is at — and its median fill is —.
- How do I copy muchobliged's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x095fbca2e0eaf0c9841005135427e1e0117190b2. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 15, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.