Polkadot-Frog
Polymarket trader · since May 2026
Polkadot-Frog has lost $122K on Polymarket since May 2026.
It is trading now — about 24,000 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 89,499 markets traded so far.
83% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 100% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Polkadot-Frog's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | +$39K | +$204K |
| Sep 2026 | +$39K | +$165K |
| Aug 2026 | +$28K | +$126K |
| Jul 2026 | +$39K | +$98K |
| Jun 2026 | +$50K | +$60K |
| May 2026 | +$9.2K | +$9.8K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy Polkadot-Frog?
Not copyable: market maker.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 29, 2026
- Not a market maker83% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed24,000 fills a day, 100% in 5–15-minute crypto
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 100% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketNo profit to concentrate
- Enough markets89,499 markets traded
- Winning lately+$104K over 90 days
- Winning overall−$122K all-time
Market maker. 83% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 100% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Speed trader. 100% of its fills are in 5- and 15-minute crypto windows, where the edge lasts seconds — gone by the time a copy lands.
Losing overall. −$122K all-time: a good stretch on a losing record.
Holds both sides. Holds both outcomes in 4 open markets — hedges a copy can't mirror.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “market maker”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How Polkadot-Frog trades
- Fills a day
- 24,000
- Resting (maker) fills
- 83%
- Median buy price
- 32¢
- Median fill
- $2
- Fills that sell
- 3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Best market's share
- —
- Worst drawdown
- $10K
- Weeks in profit
- 92%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Sports<1% of losses−$2
- Crypto100% of losses−$122K
Biggest wins
Biggest losses
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETDown | 58¢ | 100¢ | $356 | +$149 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ETDown | 61¢ | 88¢ | $179 | +$53 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ETUp | 36¢ | 13¢ | $26 | −$49 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETUp | 41¢ | 0.5¢ | $2 | −$186 |
Latest fills
- BuyBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown$7 at 68¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- BuyBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown$7 at 68¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- BuyBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETUp$1 at 3¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- BuyBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETUp$3 at 32¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- BuyBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETUp$3 at 32¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- SellBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETDown$19 at 97¢ · Oct 29, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsPolkadot-Frog fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
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Virae AI
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Polkadot-Frog: questions people ask
- How much has Polkadot-Frog made on Polymarket?
- Polkadot-Frog has lost $122K on Polymarket since May 2026: −$122K all-time on $68.4M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$42K.
- How has Polkadot-Frog's profit changed over time?
- Polkadot-Frog's cumulative PnL went from +$611 on May 12, 2026 to +$204K on Oct 29, 2026. It closed at its high, with no drawdown deeper than 5% of its scale. Best month: Jun 2026 (+$50K). Up in 6 of 6 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is Polkadot-Frog worth copying?
- Not copyable: market maker. 83% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 100% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does Polkadot-Frog trade?
- It has traded 89,499 markets; its median buy is at 32¢ and its median fill is $2.
- How do I copy Polkadot-Frog's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x9d57c42e847173d06841703825d3fe2299e456ea. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 29, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.