stocastico
Polymarket trader · Crypto · since June 2024
stocastico has made $7.2K on Polymarket since June 2024, most of it in crypto markets.
It last traded on Oct 3, 2026, 26 days before this check, after 11 markets.
Even when it traded, it wasn't copyable — only 11 markets traded — too few to tell skill from luck.
stocastico's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | +$1.1K | +$8.8K |
| Sep 2026 | +$278 | +$7.7K |
| Aug 2026 | −$127 | +$7.4K |
| Jul 2026 | +$93 | +$7.5K |
| Jun 2026 | +$1.5K | +$7.5K |
| May 2026 | +$591 | +$6.0K |
| Apr 2026 | $0 | +$5.4K |
| Mar 2026 | $0 | +$5.4K |
| Feb 2026 | −$91 | +$5.4K |
| Jan 2026 | +$1.9K | +$5.5K |
| Dec 2025 | −$25 | +$3.6K |
| Nov 2025 | +$481 | +$3.6K |
| Oct 2025 | +$410 | +$3.1K |
| Sep 2025 | +$600 | +$2.7K |
| Aug 2025 | +$1.6K | +$2.1K |
| Jul 2025 | −$800 | +$490 |
| Jun 2025 | +$1.2K | +$1.3K |
| May 2025 | −$1.3K | +$89 |
| Apr 2025 | $0 | +$1.4K |
| Mar 2025 | $0 | +$1.4K |
| Feb 2025 | $0 | +$1.4K |
| Jan 2025 | $0 | +$1.4K |
| Dec 2024 | $0 | +$1.4K |
| Nov 2024 | −$15 | +$1.4K |
| Oct 2024 | $0 | +$1.4K |
| Sep 2024 | $0 | +$1.4K |
| Aug 2024 | $0 | +$1.4K |
| Jul 2024 | −$170 | +$1.4K |
| Jun 2024 | +$1.7K | +$1.6K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy stocastico?
Not copyable: stopped trading.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 3, 2026
- Not a market maker0% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed0 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in — of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 34% of all-time profit
- Enough markets11 markets traded
- Winning lately+$1.2K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$7.2K all-time
Stopped trading. No fill since Oct 3, 2026 — 26 days before this check. There is nothing left to copy.
Too few markets. Only 11 markets traded — too few to tell skill from luck.
Buys near-certainties. Median buy at 93¢: many small wins, and one miss costs a lot of them.
Big tickets. Median fill $9.0K — big enough to move a thin book before a copy lands.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “stopped trading”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How stocastico trades
- Fills a day
- 0
- Resting (maker) fills
- 0%
- Median buy price
- 93¢
- Median fill
- $9.0K
- Fills that sell
- 0%
- Open positions
- 4
- Best market's share
- 34%
- Worst drawdown
- $2.4K
- Weeks in profit
- 72%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days; maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Crypto61% of gains+$4.4K
- Economics20% of gains+$1.4K
- Politics19% of gains+$1.4K
Biggest wins
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No+$2.4K
- Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?No+$1.8K
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes+$1.4K
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes+$926
- Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No+$460
Biggest losses
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 93¢ | 97¢ | $14K | +$628 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 91¢ | 95¢ | $9.2K | +$345 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?No | 90¢ | 98¢ | $4.3K | +$334 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No | 93¢ | 97¢ | $4.3K | +$178 |
Latest fills
- BuyWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No$9.1K at 95¢ · Oct 3, 2026
- BuyBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No$4.1K at 93¢ · Oct 3, 2026
- BuyWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No$9.0K at 91¢ · Oct 3, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsstocastico fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
PolyGun
Telegram bot for trading Polymarket without a browser: browse markets, buy and sell instantly, set limit orders, copy wallets and track the portfolio from one chat.
Olympus
Polymarket web terminal built around copy trading that keeps running on Olympus's servers after you close the tab.
PolyTraderBot
Six self-hosted Polymarket bots from one developer, sold separately at $10 a month each and delivered as full source with a browser dashboard, tests and a Docker setup for your own PC or VPS.
stocastico: questions people ask
- How much has stocastico made on Polymarket?
- stocastico has made $7.2K on Polymarket since June 2024, most of it in crypto markets: +$7.2K all-time on $212K of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$984.
- How has stocastico's profit changed over time?
- stocastico's cumulative PnL went from −$169 on Jun 4, 2024 to +$8.8K on Oct 29, 2026. It closed at its high; the deepest drawdown was −$1.5K, from Jun 27, 2024 to May 29, 2025. Best month: Jan 2026 (+$1.9K); worst: May 2025 (−$1.3K). Up in 12 of 29 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is stocastico worth copying?
- Not copyable: stopped trading. No fill since Oct 3, 2026 — 26 days before this check. There is nothing left to copy. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does stocastico trade?
- Mostly crypto markets — 61% of its profit. It has traded 11 markets; its median buy is at 93¢ and its median fill is $9.0K.
- How do I copy stocastico's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xbafef4675d3ce7eb6a20e72d02eecf3053672ba1. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 29, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.