Stonktrader
Polymarket trader · Crypto · since May 2026
Stonktrader has made $94K on Polymarket since May 2026, mostly in crypto and sports markets.
It is trading now — about 4.3 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 589 markets traded so far.
50% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 34% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy Stonktrader?
Not copyable: market maker.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 23, 2026
- Not a market maker50% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed4.3 fills a day, 5% in 5–15-minute crypto
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 34% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 1505% of all-time profit
- Enough markets589 markets traded
- Winning lately+$82K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$94K all-time
Market maker. 50% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 34% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
One big win. 1505% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Holds both sides. Holds both outcomes in 7 open markets — hedges a copy can't mirror.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “market maker”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How Stonktrader trades
- Fills a day
- 4.3
- Resting (maker) fills
- 50%
- Median buy price
- 75¢
- Median fill
- $101
- Fills that sell
- 11%
- Open positions
- 90
- Best market's share
- 1505%
- Worst drawdown
- $13K
- Weeks in profit
- 76%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days; maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Crypto+$58K
- Sports+$22K
- Tech+$8.6K
- Finance+$8.4K
- Mentions+$5.5K
- Economics+$2.5K
- Culture+$1.1K
- Weather+$1.0K
- Politics−$15K
Biggest wins
Biggest losses
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | 29¢ | 26¢ | $26K | −$3.5K |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Yes | 82¢ | 95¢ | $8.2K | +$1.1K |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Yes | 59¢ | 59¢ | $5.7K | −$22 |
| Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?No | 86¢ | 98¢ | $4.6K | +$569 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No | 78¢ | 90¢ | $4.4K | +$576 |
Latest fills
- BuyWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes$99 at 99¢ · Oct 23, 2026
- BuyWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?No$806 at 79¢ · Oct 22, 2026
- BuyWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?No$1.7K at 43¢ · Oct 22, 2026
- BuyWill "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?No$10 at 10¢ · Oct 22, 2026
- SellWill Legalise Cannabis win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?No$36 at 97¢ · Oct 22, 2026
- BuyWill Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?No$4 at 75¢ · Oct 22, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsStonktrader fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
Polyspect
Copy-trading research platform for Polymarket. Ranks 17,000+ traders on six real performance metrics — EV per trade, profit factor, reward/risk, max drawdown, ROI and win rate — reconstructed from raw on-chain fills, then lets you paper-trade their strategies before going live.
Polytragent
AI research agent for Polymarket. Send any event URL over Telegram and it analyzes every sub-market, cross-references forecasters like Manifold, reviews its own past accuracy and returns edge recommendations in seconds — plus whale tracking and manual copy-trading.
CloddsBot
Open-source AI trading agent that runs on your own machine and takes orders in natural language over Telegram, Discord, WebChat and eighteen other channels. Powered by Claude, it covers ten prediction markets — Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets, Drift, Manifold, Metaculus, PredictIt, Opinion.xyz and Predict.fun — plus perpetual-futures exchanges and Solana and EVM DeFi. The Polymarket layer is real code rather than a wrapper: an EIP-712 order signer with unit tests, a CLOB client exposing 60-plus methods, real-time data and user WebSocket feeds, a large-trade tracker, and round-based discovery of the 5-minute BTC and the 15-minute, hourly, 4-hour and daily crypto windows with four automated strategies, alongside cross-venue arbitrage detection, copy trading and DCA bots. MIT-licensed at github.com/alsk1992/CloddsBot: 2,700 stars, 460-plus commits from one primary author, v1.9.1 released Sep 12, 2026, installed with one npm command on Node 22.
Stonktrader: questions people ask
- How much has Stonktrader made on Polymarket?
- Stonktrader has made $94K on Polymarket since May 2026, mostly in crypto and sports markets: +$94K all-time on $2.9M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$66K.
- Is Stonktrader worth copying?
- Not copyable: market maker. 50% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 34% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does Stonktrader trade?
- Mostly crypto markets — 54% of its profit. It has traded 589 markets; its median buy is at 75¢ and its median fill is $101.
- How do I copy Stonktrader's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x73e35ce0b7e36ef3ce29ebd12b30b28007383239. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 25, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.