TrueOdds

About TrueOdds

Polymarket signal and research site sold as one $29-a-month subscription. A model puts a fair value and a target price on markets and sorts them into five lists: Moonshots (cheap outcomes far below the model's price), Bankers (near-certain outcomes ranked by yearly return), Snipers (model and profitable wallets on the same side), Smart Money and Swing (markets closing within 10 days). Around them sit a whale and insider feed, a screener of 10,000+ tracked traders with Telegram messages when a followed trader bets, a smart-money split on every market and a Telegram community chat. Pasting any Polymarket link into the analyzer is free without an account. You place every trade on Polymarket yourself.

How TrueOdds works

• The results page is a gallery of winners, not a track record. On Nov 13, 2026 it listed 413 signals with a return each, and not one was negative; each card shows the gain from the signal price to the target or the later high. The one we checked is real as far as it goes: TrueOdds flagged YES on Brazil's 2026 inflation landing between 4.50% and 4.99% on Oct 28 at 3¢ with a 16¢ target, and Polymarket's price history shows 3.1¢ that day and 21–24¢ on Nov 13. What the page does not show is how many Moonshots stayed at 3¢ and expired worthless, and the site's own table says about one Moonshot in three hits. The “+80% last month ROI” and “74% win rate” on the landing page come with no method or list behind them.
• The lists themselves are clearly explained, and the strategy behind each is ordinary. Bankers are the familiar buy-near-a-dollar trade sorted by yearly return; Snipers and Smart Money lean on the same profitable-wallet signal that the free whale trackers in this catalog sell; Moonshots are long shots where the model's price is several times the market's. The fair-value model is presented as a black box: the about page speaks of data from NASA, NOAA and the Federal Reserve and a “two-layered attack on the market”, and gives no calibration figures. The playbook still says Polymarket charges 0% on most markets, although taker fees now apply to several market types, crypto among them.
• Social proof is thin and inconsistent. The landing page says 1,500+ users and 4.8 stars with no source for the rating; the dashboard banner says the community chat has 1,000+ traders. TrueOdds is not in Polymarket's builder leaderboard, which is expected for a site that does not route trades. The partner page pays 50% of each subscription for life, which explains much of what is written about it elsewhere.
• TrueOdds holds no keys or funds and places no trades. The terms, updated Jul 28, 2026, say it is operated from Israel, name no company or person, and set governing law only as “the jurisdiction in which TrueOdds operates”; contact is support@trueodds.win. The privacy policy lists Stripe, Supabase and Vercel and Google Analytics behind a consent banner. The domain was registered on Jan 14, 2026. We read the home, start, results, signals, about, FAQ, terms, privacy, partner and playbook pages and checked one result against Polymarket's prices; we did not sign in or pay, so the live lists, the screener alerts and the chat are untested by us.

Markets TrueOdds covers

• All Polymarket markets