denizz
Polymarket trader · Politics · since September 2024
denizz has made $2.3M on Polymarket since September 2024, almost all of it in politics markets.
It is trading now — about 18.4 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 995 markets traded so far.
It passes every structural check, but over the last 25 days a copier one to two minutes behind would have made −2.2% — the wallet itself made −1.6%.
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy denizz?
It passes our checks, but a copier one to two minutes behind lost money over the last 30 days.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 6, 2026
- Not a market maker96% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed18.4 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 15% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 35% of all-time profit
- Enough markets995 markets traded
- Winning lately+$4.3K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$2.3M all-time
- Survives the copy delayA copier 1–2 min behind: −2.2% over 25 days
Limit orders. 96% of its fills rest on the book. It gets its own price; a copier chasing with market orders pays the spread.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
Its last 191 fills over 25 days, replayed twice: at the prices denizz got, and at the price a copier would get a little later — the market's midpoint plus half a typical spread, plus the taker fee. Same sizes, same exits; open positions valued at today's price (1% of the money went into markets that have already resolved).
| Who | Return | PnL | Paid extra |
|---|---|---|---|
| denizz | −1.6% | −$475 | — |
| Copier, under a minute behind | −2.5% | −$737 | +0.6¢ / share |
| Copier, 1–2 minutes behind | −2.2% | −$635 | +0.3¢ / share |
| Copier, 5–6 minutes behind | −2.1% | −$622 | +0.3¢ / share |
Copier PnL is at denizz's size, so compare the returns, not the dollars. Not modelled — all in the copier's favour: its own price impact, partial fills, and fills it would have missed.
How denizz trades
- Fills a day
- 18.4
- Resting (maker) fills
- 96%
- Median buy price
- 21¢
- Median fill
- $2
- Fills that sell
- 35%
- Open positions
- 37
- Best market's share
- 35%
- Worst drawdown
- $731K
- Weeks in profit
- 54%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics+$2.4M
- Crypto+$36K
- Mentions+$34K
- Finance+$5.5K
- Tech+$4.1K
- Sports+$108
- Culture−$11K
- Economics−$113K
Biggest wins
Biggest losses
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 76¢ | 95¢ | $465K | +$89K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 74¢ | 84¢ | $309K | +$37K |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | 85¢ | 97¢ | $155K | +$19K |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | 76¢ | 95¢ | $61K | +$12K |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | 66¢ | 83¢ | $28K | +$5.4K |
Latest fills
- SellWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$5 at 95¢ · Oct 6, 2026
- SellWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$42 at 95¢ · Oct 6, 2026
- SellWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$9.5K at 95¢ · Oct 6, 2026
- SellWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$10 at 95¢ · Oct 6, 2026
- SellWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$5 at 95¢ · Oct 6, 2026
- SellWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$136 at 95¢ · Oct 6, 2026
Copy denizz with
All copy-trading botsAny tool that follows a wallet address can mirror this one — paste 0xbaa2…2c73 and cap the size of every trade.
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denizz: questions people ask
- How much has denizz made on Polymarket?
- denizz has made $2.3M on Polymarket since September 2024, almost all of it in politics markets: +$2.3M all-time on $98.8M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$2.4K.
- Is denizz worth copying?
- It passes our checks, but a copier one to two minutes behind lost money over the last 30 days. We replayed its last 25 days of fills at the price a copier would get one to two minutes later, with the spread and the taker fee: −2.2% on money spent, against the wallet's own −1.6%. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does denizz trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 97% of its profit. It has traded 995 markets; its median buy is at 21¢ and its median fill is $2.
- How do I copy denizz's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 11, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.