kaxel78
Polymarket trader · Politics · since October 2026
kaxel78 has made $120K on Polymarket since October 2026, almost all of it in politics markets.
It is trading now — about 220 fills a day, mostly taking the best available price, with 1,715 markets traded so far.
220 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.
kaxel78's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | −$12K | +$98K |
| Oct 2026 | +$110K | +$110K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy kaxel78?
Not copyable: speed trader.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 1, 2026
- Not a market maker8% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed220 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 16% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 46% of all-time profit
- Enough markets1,715 markets traded
- Winning lately+$98K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$120K all-time
Speed trader. 220 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “speed trader”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How kaxel78 trades
- Fills a day
- 220
- Resting (maker) fills
- 8%
- Median buy price
- 73¢
- Median fill
- $4
- Fills that sell
- 62%
- Open positions
- 0
- Best market's share
- 46%
- Worst drawdown
- $35K
- Weeks in profit
- 50%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics93% of gains+$110K
- Finance4% of gains+$5.1K
- Tech2% of gains+$2.1K
- Culture1% of gains+$841
- Sports1% of gains+$636
- Economics<1% of gains+$144
- Weather<1% of gains+$14
Biggest wins
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No+$55K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No+$25K
- Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No+$24K
- Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No+$15K
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No+$13K
Biggest losses
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes−$13K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No−$9.4K
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes−$3.2K
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes−$3.0K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?No−$2.1K
Latest fills
- BuyWill the Republican Party win the NY-04 House seat?No$30 at 89¢ · Nov 1, 2026
- BuyWill the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat?No$4 at 11¢ · Nov 1, 2026
- BuyWill the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?No$135 at 62¢ · Nov 1, 2026
- BuyWill the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?No$43 at 38¢ · Nov 1, 2026
- BuyWill the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?No$38 at 38¢ · Nov 1, 2026
- BuyWill the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No$80 at 86¢ · Nov 1, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botskaxel78 fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.

Kreo
Telegram bots for Polymarket and Kalshi built around copy trading. Each copy task follows one wallet with its own buy mode — fixed amount, exact copy, a percentage of the leader's size or portfolio-weighted — under…

PolyGun
Telegram bot for trading Polymarket without a browser: browse markets, buy and sell instantly, set limit orders, copy wallets and track the portfolio from one chat.

Olympus
Polymarket web terminal built around copy trading that keeps running on Olympus's servers after you close the tab.
kaxel78: questions people ask
- How much has kaxel78 made on Polymarket?
- kaxel78 has made $120K on Polymarket since October 2026, almost all of it in politics markets: +$120K all-time on $1.5M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$316K.
- How has kaxel78's profit changed over time?
- kaxel78's cumulative PnL went from +$138 on Oct 13, 2026 to +$98K on Nov 1, 2026. It peaked at +$110K on Oct 25, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$12K, from Oct 25, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is kaxel78 worth copying?
- Not copyable: speed trader. 220 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does kaxel78 trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 93% of its profit. It has traded 1,715 markets; its median buy is at 73¢ and its median fill is $4.
- How do I copy kaxel78's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xc1b5f266564e6d4907cf84bdf5a8f91621ef5d85. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 1, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.