lastminwin
Polymarket trader · Politics · since September 2026
lastminwin has made $264K on Polymarket since September 2026, almost all of it in politics markets.
It is trading now — about 116 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 88 markets traded so far.
98% of its fills rest on the book, 116 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
lastminwin's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | +$366K | +$300K |
| Oct 2026 | −$74K | −$66K |
| Sep 2026 | +$8.1K | +$8.0K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy lastminwin?
Not copyable: market maker.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 12, 2026
- Not a market maker98% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed116 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 0% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 29% of all-time profit
- Enough markets88 markets traded
- Winning lately+$300K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$264K all-time
Market maker. 98% of its fills rest on the book, 116 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “market maker”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How lastminwin trades
- Fills a day
- 116
- Resting (maker) fills
- 98%
- Median buy price
- 1.4¢
- Median fill
- $1
- Fills that sell
- 2%
- Open positions
- 55
- Best market's share
- 29%
- Worst drawdown
- $85K
- Weeks in profit
- 70%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics100% of gains+$265K
- Economics100% of losses−$584
Biggest wins
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes+$77K
- Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes+$67K
- Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes+$52K
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes+$35K
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes+$32K
Biggest losses
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes−$3.5K
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No−$2.5K
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes−$148
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No−$49
- Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No−$1
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 79¢ | 87¢ | $212K | +$18K |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | 87¢ | 87¢ | $120K | −$915 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $111K | +$830 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No | 78¢ | 93¢ | $110K | +$17K |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 90¢ | 94¢ | $76K | +$3.1K |
Latest fills
- BuyWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes$1 at 0.5¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes$4 at 0.5¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes$1 at 0.5¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes$1 at 0.5¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes$25 at 0.5¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes$0 at 0.5¢ · Nov 12, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botslastminwin fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
Whalidate
Verified PartnerCopy trading for Polymarket that checks how a wallet made its money before you follow it. Its WhaleFinder replays each wallet's public history and scores the return on the money put in, the settled trades, the worst…
PolyWin
Verified PartnerTelegram bot that puts the whole Polymarket workflow in one chat: copy trading, two snipers, backtests and AI trader discovery.
Infinity
Verified PartnerA full trading terminal inside Telegram, covering two venues at once: Polymarket prediction markets on the live CLOB order book, and Hyperliquid perps and spot — plus copy-trading on top.
lastminwin: questions people ask
- How much has lastminwin made on Polymarket?
- lastminwin has made $264K on Polymarket since September 2026, almost all of it in politics markets: +$264K all-time on $6.5M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$315K.
- How has lastminwin's profit changed over time?
- lastminwin's cumulative PnL went from −$60 on Sep 3, 2026 to +$300K on Nov 12, 2026. It closed at its high; the deepest drawdown was −$74K, from Sep 24, 2026 to Oct 29, 2026. Best month: Nov 2026 (+$366K); worst: Oct 2026 (−$74K). Up in 2 of 3 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is lastminwin worth copying?
- Not copyable: market maker. 98% of its fills rest on the book, 116 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does lastminwin trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 100% of its profit. It has traded 88 markets; its median buy is at 1.4¢ and its median fill is $1.
- How do I copy lastminwin's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xb5d19b53c973be1097119c9ddc48fcb18fff6e35. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.