SpringlyFawl
Polymarket trader · Politics · since August 2026
SpringlyFawl has made $31K on Polymarket since August 2026, most of it in politics markets.
It is trading now — about 595 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 10,709 markets traded so far.
67% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 61% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
SpringlyFawl's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | −$11K | +$28K |
| Oct 2026 | +$21K | +$38K |
| Sep 2026 | +$15K | +$17K |
| Aug 2026 | +$2.4K | +$2.4K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy SpringlyFawl?
Not copyable: market maker.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 1, 2026
- Not a market maker67% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed595 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 61% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 42% of all-time profit
- Enough markets10,709 markets traded
- Winning lately+$28K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$31K all-time
Market maker. 67% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 61% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Speed trader. 595 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “market maker”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How SpringlyFawl trades
- Fills a day
- 595
- Resting (maker) fills
- 67%
- Median buy price
- 65¢
- Median fill
- $10
- Fills that sell
- 52%
- Open positions
- 11
- Best market's share
- 42%
- Worst drawdown
- $19K
- Weeks in profit
- 91%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics83% of gains+$28K
- Tech10% of gains+$3.5K
- Finance3% of gains+$1.0K
- Sports3% of gains+$952
- Culture1% of gains+$399
- Crypto2% of losses−$75
- Economics34% of losses−$1.2K
- Weather64% of losses−$2.4K
Biggest wins
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No+$13K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No+$7.6K
- Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?No+$4.9K
- Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No+$4.8K
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No+$4.0K
Biggest losses
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes−$2.0K
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No−$770
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes−$470
- Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes−$459
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes−$452
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?No | 37¢ | 34¢ | $139 | −$12 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?No | 82¢ | 79¢ | $108 | −$4 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?No | 66¢ | 50¢ | $85 | −$28 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?No | 63¢ | 47¢ | $77 | −$27 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | 45¢ | 44¢ | $73 | −$2 |
Latest fills
- SellWill the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?No$11 at 56¢ · Nov 1, 2026
- BuyWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 30%-35%?No$12 at 39¢ · Nov 1, 2026
- BuyWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 15%-25%?No$30 at 95¢ · Nov 1, 2026
- BuyWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 35%-40%?No$26 at 81¢ · Nov 1, 2026
- BuyWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 25%-30%?No$29 at 90¢ · Nov 1, 2026
- SellWill Top Esports win Worlds 2026?Yes$2 at 3.2¢ · Nov 1, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsSpringlyFawl fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
Polytragent
AI research agent for Polymarket. Send any event URL over Telegram and it analyzes every sub-market, cross-references forecasters like Manifold, reviews its own past accuracy and returns edge recommendations in seconds…
CloddsBot
Open-source AI trading agent that runs on your own machine and takes orders in natural language over Telegram, Discord, WebChat and eighteen other channels.fun — plus perpetual-futures exchanges and Solana and EVM DeFi.
Rainmaker
AI-agent terminal that unifies arbitrage, copy-trading and analytics across Polymarket, Kalshi and Novig. Its Cloud9 agents snipe arbitrage between venues, score and replicate winning traders, and mine analytics — with…
SpringlyFawl: questions people ask
- How much has SpringlyFawl made on Polymarket?
- SpringlyFawl has made $31K on Polymarket since August 2026, most of it in politics markets: +$31K all-time on $2.1M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$185K.
- How has SpringlyFawl's profit changed over time?
- SpringlyFawl's cumulative PnL went from +$1 on Aug 10, 2026 to +$28K on Nov 1, 2026. It peaked at +$38K on Oct 25, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$11K, from Oct 25, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026. Best month: Oct 2026 (+$21K); worst: Nov 2026 (−$11K). Up in 3 of 4 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is SpringlyFawl worth copying?
- Not copyable: market maker. 67% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 61% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does SpringlyFawl trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 83% of its profit. It has traded 10,709 markets; its median buy is at 65¢ and its median fill is $10.
- How do I copy SpringlyFawl's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xfbedb045813457be883ad83dd1078e88a2a1a665. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 1, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.