0xc8b9…b836
Polymarket trader · Politics · since October 2025
0xc8b9…b836 has made $610K on Polymarket since October 2025, almost all of it in politics markets.
It is trading now — about 67.9 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 661 markets traded so far.
Over the last 15 days it made +31.1% on the money it put in; a copier one to two minutes behind, paying the spread and the taker fee, would have made +21.6%.
0xc8b9…b836's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | +$213K | +$634K |
| Oct 2026 | +$100K | +$421K |
| Sep 2026 | +$4.4K | +$321K |
| Aug 2026 | +$52K | +$316K |
| Jul 2026 | +$57K | +$264K |
| Jun 2026 | +$102K | +$207K |
| May 2026 | +$6.5K | +$104K |
| Apr 2026 | +$24K | +$98K |
| Mar 2026 | +$21K | +$74K |
| Feb 2026 | +$14K | +$53K |
| Jan 2026 | +$23K | +$39K |
| Dec 2025 | +$3.3K | +$16K |
| Nov 2025 | +$14K | +$12K |
| Oct 2025 | −$1.7K | −$1.6K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy 0xc8b9…b836?
Worth copying: a copier one to two minutes behind kept 74% of its 30-day return.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 11, 2026
- Not a market maker92% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed67.9 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 0% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 10% of all-time profit
- Enough markets661 markets traded
- Winning lately+$330K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$610K all-time
- Survives the copy delayA copier 1–2 min behind: +21.6% over 15 days
Limit orders. 92% of its fills rest on the book. It gets its own price; a copier chasing with market orders pays the spread.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
Its last 1,000 fills over 15 days, replayed twice: at the prices 0xc8b9…b836 got, and at the price a copier would get a little later — the market's midpoint plus half a typical spread, plus the taker fee. Same sizes, same exits; open positions valued at today's price (90% of the money went into markets that have already resolved).
| Who | Return | PnL | Paid extra |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc8b9…b836 | +31.1% | +$84K | — |
| Copier, under a minute behind | +25.8% | +$72K | +1.8¢ / share |
| Copier, 1–2 minutes behind | +21.6% | +$62K | +3.4¢ / share |
| Copier, 5–6 minutes behind | +20.6% | +$60K | +3.5¢ / share |
Copier PnL is at 0xc8b9…b836's size, so compare the returns, not the dollars. Not modelled — all in the copier's favour: its own price impact, partial fills, and fills it would have missed.
How 0xc8b9…b836 trades
- Fills a day
- 67.9
- Resting (maker) fills
- 92%
- Median buy price
- 59¢
- Median fill
- $37
- Fills that sell
- 23%
- Open positions
- 25
- Best market's share
- 10%
- Worst drawdown
- $15K
- Weeks in profit
- 85%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics98% of gains+$601K
- Sports2% of gains+$12K
- Culture100% of losses−$3.1K
Biggest wins
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes+$64K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No+$38K
- Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No+$33K
- Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes+$28K
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes+$23K
Biggest losses
- Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Yes−$8.3K
- Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes−$7.5K
- Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%?No−$6.9K
- Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes−$5.9K
- Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?No−$5.6K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?No | 29¢ | 100¢ | $7.4K | +$5.3K |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 15%-20%?No | 81¢ | 99¢ | $6.3K | +$1.1K |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 30%-35%?No | 80¢ | 99¢ | $5.7K | +$1.1K |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 10%-15%?No | 83¢ | 99¢ | $5.6K | +$911 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes | 36¢ | 99¢ | $3.3K | +$2.1K |
Latest fills
- SellWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes$3 at 1.5¢ · Nov 11, 2026
- BuyWill Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson?Yes$615 at 95¢ · Nov 8, 2026
- BuyWill Keisha Lance Bottoms run 3 to 6 points behind Jon Ossoff?Yes$300 at 92¢ · Nov 7, 2026
- BuyWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes$321 at 92¢ · Nov 5, 2026
- BuyWill Troy Jackson run 6 to 9 points behind Hannah Pingree?No$324 at 89¢ · Nov 4, 2026
- SellWill the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes$10K at 75¢ · Nov 4, 2026
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0xc8b9…b836: questions people ask
- How much has 0xc8b9…b836 made on Polymarket?
- 0xc8b9…b836 has made $610K on Polymarket since October 2025, almost all of it in politics markets: +$610K all-time on $6.2M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$300K.
- How has 0xc8b9…b836's profit changed over time?
- 0xc8b9…b836's cumulative PnL went from +$110 on Oct 4, 2025 to +$634K on Nov 12, 2026. It closed at its high, with no drawdown deeper than 5% of its scale. Best month: Nov 2026 (+$213K); worst: Oct 2025 (−$1.7K). Up in 13 of 14 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is 0xc8b9…b836 worth copying?
- Worth copying: a copier one to two minutes behind kept 74% of its 30-day return. We replayed its last 15 days of fills at the price a copier would get one to two minutes later, with the spread and the taker fee: +21.6% on money spent, against the wallet's own +31.1%. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does 0xc8b9…b836 trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 98% of its profit. It has traded 661 markets; its median buy is at 59¢ and its median fill is $37.
- How do I copy 0xc8b9…b836's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.