defillama7
Polymarket trader · Politics · since April 2026
defillama7 has made $487K on Polymarket since April 2026, almost all of it in politics markets.
It is trading now — about 67.2 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 78 markets traded so far.
Over the last 15 days it made +27.1% on the money it put in; a copier one to two minutes behind, paying the spread and the taker fee, would have made +21.3%.
defillama7's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | +$69K | +$522K |
| Oct 2026 | +$76K | +$453K |
| Sep 2026 | +$26K | +$377K |
| Aug 2026 | +$66K | +$352K |
| Jul 2026 | −$57K | +$285K |
| Jun 2026 | +$384K | +$343K |
| May 2026 | −$41K | −$41K |
| Apr 2026 | $0 | +$796 |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy defillama7?
Worth copying: a copier one to two minutes behind kept 81% of its 30-day return.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 12, 2026
- Not a market maker95% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed67.2 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 0% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 35% of all-time profit
- Enough markets78 markets traded
- Winning lately+$199K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$487K all-time
- Survives the copy delayA copier 1–2 min behind: +21.3% over 15 days
Limit orders. 95% of its fills rest on the book. It gets its own price; a copier chasing with market orders pays the spread.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
Its last 1,000 fills over 15 days, replayed twice: at the prices defillama7 got, and at the price a copier would get a little later — the market's midpoint plus half a typical spread, plus the taker fee. Same sizes, same exits; open positions valued at today's price (48% of the money went into markets that have already resolved).
| Who | Return | PnL | Paid extra |
|---|---|---|---|
| defillama7 | +27.1% | +$53K | — |
| Copier, under a minute behind | +22.5% | +$45K | +1.1¢ / share |
| Copier, 1–2 minutes behind | +21.3% | +$43K | +1.5¢ / share |
| Copier, 5–6 minutes behind | +18.3% | +$38K | +2.9¢ / share |
Copier PnL is at defillama7's size, so compare the returns, not the dollars. Not modelled — all in the copier's favour: its own price impact, partial fills, and fills it would have missed.
How defillama7 trades
- Fills a day
- 67.2
- Resting (maker) fills
- 95%
- Median buy price
- 39¢
- Median fill
- $36
- Fills that sell
- 69%
- Open positions
- 3
- Best market's share
- 35%
- Worst drawdown
- $122K
- Weeks in profit
- 65%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics95% of gains+$543K
- Sports5% of gains+$31K
- Finance38% of losses−$33K
- Economics62% of losses−$54K
Biggest wins
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes+$171K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes+$162K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes+$136K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No+$113K
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes+$44K
Biggest losses
- Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No−$82K
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No−$28K
- Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No−$21K
- Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes−$17K
- Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes−$9.1K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes | 34¢ | 99¢ | $42K | +$28K |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes | 40¢ | 34¢ | $2.5K | −$478 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 58¢ | 4.1¢ | $36 | −$486 |
Latest fills
- SellWill Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes$20K at 99¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Yes$943 at 65¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Yes$4 at 65¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Yes$186 at 65¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Yes$186 at 65¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?Yes$120 at 39¢ · Nov 12, 2026
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defillama7: questions people ask
- How much has defillama7 made on Polymarket?
- defillama7 has made $487K on Polymarket since April 2026, almost all of it in politics markets: +$487K all-time on $7.5M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$110K.
- How has defillama7's profit changed over time?
- defillama7's cumulative PnL went from +$796 on Apr 30, 2026 to +$522K on Nov 12, 2026. It peaked at +$548K on Nov 5, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$57K, from Jun 25, 2026 to Jul 30, 2026. Best month: Jun 2026 (+$384K); worst: Jul 2026 (−$57K). Up in 5 of 8 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is defillama7 worth copying?
- Worth copying: a copier one to two minutes behind kept 81% of its 30-day return. We replayed its last 15 days of fills at the price a copier would get one to two minutes later, with the spread and the taker fee: +21.3% on money spent, against the wallet's own +27.1%. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does defillama7 trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 95% of its profit. It has traded 78 markets; its median buy is at 39¢ and its median fill is $36.
- How do I copy defillama7's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x4c8cdcdd4c92bf44e74a642254f7414de14de36f. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.