BreakTheBank
Polymarket trader · Sports · since January 2026
BreakTheBank has made $6.7M on Polymarket since January 2026, almost all of it in sports markets.
It is trading now — about 534 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 1,060 markets traded so far.
100% of its fills rest on the book, 534 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy BreakTheBank?
Not copyable: market maker.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 15, 2026
- Not a market maker100% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed534 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 10% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 21% of all-time profit
- Enough markets1,060 markets traded
- Winning lately+$3.4M over 90 days
- Winning overall+$6.7M all-time
Market maker. 100% of its fills rest on the book, 534 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Speed trader. 534 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it gave back $5.2M, 71% of its peak profit.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “market maker”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How BreakTheBank trades
- Fills a day
- 534
- Resting (maker) fills
- 100%
- Median buy price
- 26¢
- Median fill
- $0
- Fills that sell
- 3%
- Open positions
- 39
- Best market's share
- 21%
- Worst drawdown
- $5.2M
- Weeks in profit
- 59%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Sports+$6.8M
- Politics+$4.7K
- Culture−$40K
Biggest wins
- Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes+$1.4M
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Yes+$1.3M
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?No+$1.2M
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?No+$1.1M
- Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes+$1.1M
Biggest losses
- US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz−$919K
- Broncos vs. ChiefsBroncos−$805K
- Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes−$593K
- Will United States win on 2026-07-01?No−$546K
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?No−$535K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No | 71¢ | 82¢ | $371K | +$48K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | 3.1¢ | 63¢ | $250K | +$238K |
| Seahawks vs. BroncosBroncos | 42¢ | 44¢ | $218K | +$7.5K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo | 71¢ | 72¢ | $142K | +$1.6K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 64¢ | 63¢ | $101K | −$2.4K |
Latest fills
- BuyWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$3 at 9¢ · Oct 15, 2026
- BuyWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes$5 at 26¢ · Oct 15, 2026
- BuyWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$0 at 9¢ · Oct 15, 2026
- BuyWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$17 at 9¢ · Oct 15, 2026
- BuyWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$36 at 9¢ · Oct 15, 2026
- BuyWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes$1 at 26¢ · Oct 15, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsBreakTheBank fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
CloddsBot
Open-source AI trading agent that runs on your own machine and takes orders in natural language over Telegram, Discord, WebChat and eighteen other channels. Powered by Claude, it covers ten prediction markets — Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets, Drift, Manifold, Metaculus, PredictIt, Opinion.xyz and Predict.fun — plus perpetual-futures exchanges and Solana and EVM DeFi. The Polymarket layer is real code rather than a wrapper: an EIP-712 order signer with unit tests, a CLOB client exposing 60-plus methods, real-time data and user WebSocket feeds, a large-trade tracker, and round-based discovery of the 5-minute BTC and the 15-minute, hourly, 4-hour and daily crypto windows with four automated strategies, alongside cross-venue arbitrage detection, copy trading and DCA bots. MIT-licensed at github.com/alsk1992/CloddsBot: 2,700 stars, 460-plus commits from one primary author, v1.9.1 released Sep 12, 2026, installed with one npm command on Node 22.
Rainmaker
AI-agent terminal that unifies arbitrage, copy-trading and analytics across Polymarket, Kalshi and Novig. Its Cloud9 agents snipe arbitrage between venues, score and replicate winning traders, and mine analytics — with a focus on sports markets (NFL, NBA, NCAA).
Whalidate
Verified PartnerCopy trading for Polymarket that starts with the question a profit leaderboard skips: how did the wallet make its money? Its WhaleFinder tool replays each wallet's public history and scores the return on the money put in, the number of settled trades, the worst drawdown and how much of the profit came from a single bet. By default a wallet needs a 15% return, 30 settled trades, a drawdown of 25% or less and no more than half its profit from one trade; on Sep 30, 2026, 166 of the 1,346 wallets scored in full passed. You pick the wallets and set the rules — entry price band, slippage cap, market categories, caps per market and per event, daily, weekly and drawdown loss limits — and Whalidate copies only the new buys that pass, with a fill-or-kill order at the price the book offers. Every strategy runs on paper for free with no time limit. Live copying needs a paid plan from $49 a month, takes no fee per trade, and runs from a trading wallet whose keys Whalidate holds.
BreakTheBank: questions people ask
- How much has BreakTheBank made on Polymarket?
- BreakTheBank has made $6.7M on Polymarket since January 2026, almost all of it in sports markets: +$6.7M all-time on $290.4M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$4.2M.
- Is BreakTheBank worth copying?
- Not copyable: market maker. 100% of its fills rest on the book, 534 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does BreakTheBank trade?
- Mostly sports markets — 100% of its profit. It has traded 1,060 markets; its median buy is at 26¢ and its median fill is $0.
- How do I copy BreakTheBank's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xf0318c32136c2db7fec88b84869aee6a1106c80c. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 15, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.