graynotebook19
Polymarket trader · Politics · since April 2026
graynotebook19 has made $45K on Polymarket since April 2026, mostly in politics and culture markets.
It is trading now — about 405 fills a day, mostly taking the best available price, with 61,776 markets traded so far.
405 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.
graynotebook19's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | −$18K | +$49K |
| Oct 2026 | −$26K | +$67K |
| Sep 2026 | +$38K | +$93K |
| Aug 2026 | +$21K | +$55K |
| Jul 2026 | +$8.2K | +$35K |
| Jun 2026 | +$6.8K | +$26K |
| May 2026 | +$20K | +$20K |
| Apr 2026 | −$130 | −$184 |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy graynotebook19?
Not copyable: speed trader.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 12, 2026
- Not a market maker20% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed405 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 0% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 32% of all-time profit
- Enough markets61,776 markets traded
- Winning lately+$7.4K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$45K all-time
Speed trader. 405 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it gave back $64K, 59% of its peak profit.
Buys near-certainties. Median buy at 99¢: many small wins, and one miss costs a lot of them.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “speed trader”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How graynotebook19 trades
- Fills a day
- 405
- Resting (maker) fills
- 20%
- Median buy price
- 99¢
- Median fill
- $26
- Fills that sell
- 13%
- Open positions
- 76
- Best market's share
- 32%
- Worst drawdown
- $64K
- Weeks in profit
- 77%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics58% of gains+$25K
- Culture13% of gains+$5.5K
- Finance9% of gains+$4.1K
- Sports9% of gains+$3.9K
- Tech7% of gains+$3.0K
- Weather2% of gains+$1.0K
- Economics1% of gains+$514
- Crypto<1% of gains+$208
Biggest wins
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No+$14K
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo+$8.8K
- Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No+$6.7K
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo+$5.3K
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No+$5.2K
Biggest losses
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?No−$2.4K
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?No−$1.9K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No−$1.6K
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No−$1.5K
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No−$1.5K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding be the 2026 Big Ten Receiving Yards Leader?Yes | 1.6¢ | 28¢ | $82 | +$77 |
| Will Mikey Matthews be the 2026 Big Ten Receiving Yards Leader?Yes | 1.6¢ | 28¢ | $82 | +$77 |
| Will Evan James be the 2026 Big Ten Receiving Yards Leader?Yes | 1.6¢ | 28¢ | $82 | +$77 |
| Will Bisi Owens be the 2026 Big Ten Receiving Yards Leader?Yes | 1.6¢ | 28¢ | $82 | +$77 |
| Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes | 3.4¢ | 4.6¢ | $82 | +$21 |
Latest fills
- BuyWill Jensen Huang's resignation or removal not be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026?No$7 at 100¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on November 14?No$5 at 99¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on November 13?No$29 at 98¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- SellWill Gary O'Neil be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?Yes$0 at 0.1¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- SellWill Keith Andrews be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?Yes$0 at 0.1¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V?No$6 at 88¢ · Nov 12, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsgraynotebook19 fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.

Polyspect
Copy-trading research platform for Polymarket. Ranks 17,000+ traders on six real performance metrics — EV per trade, profit factor, reward/risk, max drawdown, ROI and win rate — reconstructed from raw on-chain fills…

Polytragent
AI research agent for Polymarket. Send any event URL over Telegram and it analyzes every sub-market, cross-references forecasters like Manifold, reviews its own past accuracy and returns edge recommendations in seconds…

CloddsBot
Open-source AI trading agent that runs on your own machine and takes orders in natural language over Telegram, Discord, WebChat and eighteen other channels.fun — plus perpetual-futures exchanges and Solana and EVM DeFi.
graynotebook19: questions people ask
- How much has graynotebook19 made on Polymarket?
- graynotebook19 has made $45K on Polymarket since April 2026, mostly in politics and culture markets: +$45K all-time on $6.1M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$243K.
- How has graynotebook19's profit changed over time?
- graynotebook19's cumulative PnL went from −$54 on Apr 23, 2026 to +$49K on Nov 12, 2026. It peaked at +$93K on Sep 24, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$44K, from Sep 24, 2026 to Nov 12, 2026. Best month: Sep 2026 (+$38K); worst: Oct 2026 (−$26K). Up in 5 of 8 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is graynotebook19 worth copying?
- Not copyable: speed trader. 405 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does graynotebook19 trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 58% of its profit. It has traded 61,776 markets; its median buy is at 99¢ and its median fill is $26.
- How do I copy graynotebook19's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xcfff4295288ee29f75a38a7028611b7c1e93673d. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.