Speed traderPoliticsDeep drawdownsBuys near-certainties

graynotebook19

Polymarket trader · Politics · since April 2026

graynotebook19 has made $45K on Polymarket since April 2026, mostly in politics and culture markets.

It is trading now — about 405 fills a day, mostly taking the best available price, with 61,776 markets traded so far.

405 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.

Profit & loss, all time+$45K
+$49Ksince Apr 23, 2026
Apr 23, 2026Nov 12, 2026
graynotebook19's cumulative PnL went from −$54 on Apr 23, 2026 to +$49K on Nov 12, 2026. It peaked at +$93K on Sep 24, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$44K, from Sep 24, 2026 to Nov 12, 2026. Best month: Sep 2026 (+$38K); worst: Oct 2026 (−$26K). Up in 5 of 8 months.
graynotebook19's PnL by month
MonthPnL in monthCumulative
Nov 2026−$18K+$49K
Oct 2026−$26K+$67K
Sep 2026+$38K+$93K
Aug 2026+$21K+$55K
Jul 2026+$8.2K+$35K
Jun 2026+$6.8K+$26K
May 2026+$20K+$20K
Apr 2026−$130−$184

Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.

All-time PnL+$45K
30-day PnL+$243K
Volume$6.1M
Markets traded61,776

Should you copy graynotebook19?

Not copyable: speed trader.

  • Still tradingLast fill Nov 12, 2026
  • Not a market maker20% of fills rest on the book
  • Human speed405 fills a day
  • Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 0% of its markets
  • Not one lucky marketBest market is 32% of all-time profit
  • Enough markets61,776 markets traded
  • Winning lately+$7.4K over 90 days
  • Winning overall+$45K all-time

Speed trader. 405 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.

Deep drawdowns. At its worst it gave back $64K, 59% of its peak profit.

Buys near-certainties. Median buy at 99¢: many small wins, and one miss costs a lot of them.

Copy check: what a follower would have made

We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “speed trader”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.

How graynotebook19 trades

Fills a day
405
Resting (maker) fills
20%
Median buy price
99¢
Median fill
$26
Fills that sell
13%
Open positions
76
Best market's share
32%
Worst drawdown
$64K
Weeks in profit
77%

Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.

Where the profit comes from

  • Politics+$25K
  • Culture+$5.5K
  • Finance+$4.1K
  • Sports+$3.9K
  • Tech+$3.0K
  • Weather+$1.0K
  • Economics+$514
  • Crypto+$208

Latest fills

  • BuyWill Jensen Huang's resignation or removal not be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026?No$7 at 100¢ · Nov 12, 2026
  • BuyWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on November 14?No$5 at 99¢ · Nov 12, 2026
  • BuyWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on November 13?No$29 at 98¢ · Nov 12, 2026
  • SellWill Gary O'Neil be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?Yes$0 at 0.1¢ · Nov 12, 2026
  • SellWill Keith Andrews be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?Yes$0 at 0.1¢ · Nov 12, 2026
  • BuyWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V?No$6 at 88¢ · Nov 12, 2026

graynotebook19: questions people ask

How much has graynotebook19 made on Polymarket?
graynotebook19 has made $45K on Polymarket since April 2026, mostly in politics and culture markets: +$45K all-time on $6.1M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$243K.
How has graynotebook19's profit changed over time?
graynotebook19's cumulative PnL went from −$54 on Apr 23, 2026 to +$49K on Nov 12, 2026. It peaked at +$93K on Sep 24, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$44K, from Sep 24, 2026 to Nov 12, 2026. Best month: Sep 2026 (+$38K); worst: Oct 2026 (−$26K). Up in 5 of 8 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
Is graynotebook19 worth copying?
Not copyable: speed trader. 405 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices. Past results don't predict future ones.
What does graynotebook19 trade?
Mostly politics markets — 58% of its profit. It has traded 61,776 markets; its median buy is at 99¢ and its median fill is $26.
How do I copy graynotebook19's trades?
Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xcfff4295288ee29f75a38a7028611b7c1e93673d. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.

Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.