JohnLKellyJr
Polymarket trader · Politics · since May 2026
JohnLKellyJr has made $54K on Polymarket since May 2026, most of it in politics markets.
It is trading now — about 999 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 3,747 markets traded so far.
89% of its fills rest on the book, 999 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
JohnLKellyJr's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | −$40K | +$145K |
| Sep 2026 | +$144K | +$186K |
| Aug 2026 | +$34K | +$42K |
| Jul 2026 | +$18K | +$7.5K |
| Jun 2026 | +$982 | −$11K |
| May 2026 | −$17K | −$12K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy JohnLKellyJr?
Not copyable: market maker.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 31, 2026
- Not a market maker89% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed999 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 0% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 41% of all-time profit
- Enough markets3,747 markets traded
- Winning lately+$103K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$54K all-time
Market maker. 89% of its fills rest on the book, 999 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Speed trader. 999 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.
Down this month. −$30K over the last 30 days.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it gave back $285K, 69% of its peak profit.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “market maker”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How JohnLKellyJr trades
- Fills a day
- 999
- Resting (maker) fills
- 89%
- Median buy price
- 79¢
- Median fill
- $38
- Fills that sell
- 1%
- Open positions
- 4
- Best market's share
- 41%
- Worst drawdown
- $285K
- Weeks in profit
- 55%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics78% of gains+$7.1K
- Crypto19% of gains+$1.7K
- Culture3% of gains+$267
- Economics4% of losses−$1.3K
- Mentions4% of losses−$1.5K
- Sports92% of losses−$31K
Biggest wins
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group BLiquid+$22K
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsBIG+$20K
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage1WIN+$20K
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup PlayoffsFaZe+$20K
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageFUT Esports+$20K
Biggest losses
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageBetBoom Team−$25K
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsMisa Esports−$17K
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsLilmix−$16K
- Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerEsport Academy Copenhagen−$14K
- Counter-Strike: WBT vs Nexus - Map 2 WinnerNexus−$13K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs naocopulas (+1.5)paiN | 54¢ | 52¢ | $6.2K | −$312 |
| Counter-Strike: naocopulas vs paiN (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group BpaiN | 83¢ | 81¢ | $5.0K | −$137 |
| Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - CyberClash PlayoffsNuclear TigeRES | 79¢ | 81¢ | $2.7K | +$71 |
| Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5)1WIN | 68¢ | 69¢ | $2.2K | +$22 |
Latest fills
- BuyMap Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)FURIA$265 at 53¢ · Oct 31, 2026
- BuyMap Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)FURIA$265 at 53¢ · Oct 31, 2026
- BuyMap Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)FURIA$3 at 53¢ · Oct 31, 2026
- BuyMap Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)FURIA$3 at 53¢ · Oct 31, 2026
- BuyMap Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)FURIA$265 at 53¢ · Oct 31, 2026
- BuyMap Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)FURIA$3 at 53¢ · Oct 31, 2026
Copy-trading tools
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JohnLKellyJr: questions people ask
- How much has JohnLKellyJr made on Polymarket?
- JohnLKellyJr has made $54K on Polymarket since May 2026, most of it in politics markets: +$54K all-time on $23.1M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: −$30K.
- How has JohnLKellyJr's profit changed over time?
- JohnLKellyJr's cumulative PnL went from +$5.1K on May 23, 2026 to +$145K on Oct 31, 2026. It peaked at +$416K on Oct 17, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$271K, from Oct 17, 2026 to Oct 31, 2026. Best month: Sep 2026 (+$144K); worst: Oct 2026 (−$40K). Up in 4 of 6 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is JohnLKellyJr worth copying?
- Not copyable: market maker. 89% of its fills rest on the book, 999 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does JohnLKellyJr trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 78% of its profit. It has traded 3,747 markets; its median buy is at 79¢ and its median fill is $38.
- How do I copy JohnLKellyJr's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xddc38b82423310f5bbf2e2dc58745661a624029c. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 31, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.