TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard
Polymarket trader · Economics · since August 2026
TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard has made $476K on Polymarket since August 2026, almost all of it in economics markets.
It is trading now — about 19.7 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 1,590 markets traded so far.
112% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard?
Not copyable: one big win.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 22, 2026
- Not a market maker98% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed19.7 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 0% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 112% of all-time profit
- Enough markets1,590 markets traded
- Winning lately+$448K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$476K all-time
One big win. 112% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Limit orders. 98% of its fills rest on the book. It gets its own price; a copier chasing with market orders pays the spread.
Down this month. −$36K over the last 30 days.
Streaky. Up in only 45% of its recent weeks.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “one big win”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard trades
- Fills a day
- 19.7
- Resting (maker) fills
- 98%
- Median buy price
- 57¢
- Median fill
- $40
- Fills that sell
- 0%
- Open positions
- 4
- Best market's share
- 112%
- Worst drawdown
- $99K
- Weeks in profit
- 45%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Economics+$545K
- Sports−$64K
Biggest wins
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes+$535K
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No+$6.3K
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes+$3.3K
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes+$1.6K
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?Yes+$760
Biggest losses
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-08-29?Yes−$4
- Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Arthur FeryJames Duckworth−$4
- Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Abedallah ShelbayhMartin Damm−$1
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | 88¢ | 77¢ | $54K | −$7.9K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 34¢ | 4.5¢ | $4.1K | −$27K |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes | 88¢ | 87¢ | $2.6K | −$35 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | 48¢ | 4.5¢ | $82 | −$791 |
Latest fills
- BuyAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes$3.1K at 80¢ · Oct 22, 2026
- BuyAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes$1 at 80¢ · Oct 22, 2026
- BuyAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes$13 at 80¢ · Oct 22, 2026
- BuyAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes$0 at 80¢ · Oct 22, 2026
- BuyAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes$7 at 80¢ · Oct 22, 2026
- BuyAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes$160 at 80¢ · Oct 22, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsTheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
Ratio
Social prediction-market app for iOS and Android built around copying Polymarket traders. Browse markets, follow forecasters from a global leaderboard, mirror their positions with your own sizing, and read the reasoning they post next to each trade. Wallet tracking, alerts and portfolio analytics sit alongside the feed. The wallet is self-custodial — you hold the keys and can export them — and every trade settles on Polymarket itself, not on Ratio's infrastructure.
Polycool
Mobile-first Polymarket app for copy trading and market discovery. A Smart Feed shows what winning traders are buying right now, an Insider Feed flags suspicious high-conviction bets, and you can copy up to 4 traders with slippage guards across 30,000+ markets — funding by card, Apple Pay or USDC.
Predictify
Full-featured Polymarket bot for Telegram. Browse markets, set price alerts on market moves and copy-trade proven wallets — all from inside your Telegram chat.
TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard: questions people ask
- How much has TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard made on Polymarket?
- TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard has made $476K on Polymarket since August 2026, almost all of it in economics markets: +$476K all-time on $2.1M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: −$36K.
- Is TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard worth copying?
- Not copyable: one big win. 112% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard trade?
- Mostly economics markets — 100% of its profit. It has traded 1,590 markets; its median buy is at 57¢ and its median fill is $40.
- How do I copy TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x1058f156b207cafe61d102e97bf6796931d301c1. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 25, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.