Vale54holi
Polymarket trader · Politics · since October 2026
Vale54holi has made $45K on Polymarket since October 2026, most of it in politics markets.
It is trading now — about 105 fills a day, mostly taking the best available price, with 1,410 markets traded so far.
106% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Vale54holi's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | −$42K | +$41K |
| Oct 2026 | +$82K | +$82K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy Vale54holi?
Not copyable: one big win.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 12, 2026
- Not a market maker14% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed105 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 13% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 106% of all-time profit
- Enough markets1,410 markets traded
- Winning lately+$41K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$45K all-time
One big win. 106% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it gave back $94K, 76% of its peak profit.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “one big win”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How Vale54holi trades
- Fills a day
- 105
- Resting (maker) fills
- 14%
- Median buy price
- 75¢
- Median fill
- $4
- Fills that sell
- 57%
- Open positions
- 1
- Best market's share
- 106%
- Worst drawdown
- $94K
- Weeks in profit
- 75%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics73% of gains+$32K
- Finance13% of gains+$5.9K
- Culture6% of gains+$2.8K
- Tech4% of gains+$1.8K
- Sports3% of gains+$1.3K
- Economics<1% of gains+$136
- Weather<1% of gains+$3
Biggest wins
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No+$47K
- Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No+$27K
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No+$22K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No+$13K
- Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No+$12K
Biggest losses
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes−$11K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No−$8.2K
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes−$4.1K
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes−$4.1K
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes−$2.9K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?No | 70¢ | 68¢ | $3 | $0 |
Latest fills
- BuyWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes$2.6K at 86¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No$538 at 17¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” sell for at least $70m at auction?No$45 at 89¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” sell for between $40m and $50m at auction?No$34 at 67¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” sell for between $50m and $60m at auction?No$34 at 67¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” sell for between $60m and $70m at auction?No$41 at 81¢ · Nov 12, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsVale54holi fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
PolyBot
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Polyfollow
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Ratio
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Vale54holi: questions people ask
- How much has Vale54holi made on Polymarket?
- Vale54holi has made $45K on Polymarket since October 2026, most of it in politics markets: +$45K all-time on $2.0M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$368K.
- How has Vale54holi's profit changed over time?
- Vale54holi's cumulative PnL went from −$3 on Oct 13, 2026 to +$41K on Nov 12, 2026. It peaked at +$82K on Oct 29, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$49K, from Oct 29, 2026 to Nov 5, 2026. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is Vale54holi worth copying?
- Not copyable: one big win. 106% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does Vale54holi trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 73% of its profit. It has traded 1,410 markets; its median buy is at 75¢ and its median fill is $4.
- How do I copy Vale54holi's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x9d0dcd0c8aa0526303fd9e17fff4666ef52d2e6d. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.