PolyEdgeFinder

About PolyEdgeFinder

Free statistics site for Polymarket's crypto Up or Down markets, covering BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, BNB and HYPE on timeframes from 5 minutes to 1 day. It counts how often each time slot has resolved up or down over the last 30 or 90 days, and scores upcoming slots from 0 to 10 for how strong that pattern is. It also has a wallet dashboard, a trader leaderboard and a Telegram bot that alerts you before strong slots. You trade by hand on Polymarket. There is no sign-up and no wallet connection.

How PolyEdgeFinder works

• The site's most useful page argues against its own headline. The home page says “Find the statistical edge”; the track record says that picking the side is close to a coin flip. Since Aug 15, 2026 it has logged every BTC 15-minute signal of 8 or more before the slot starts, with a simulated $100 stake. On Nov 7, 2026 its data showed 1,548 settled signals. Those built on 30 days of history won 50.1% of 991 and lost $818; those built on 90 days won 49.0% of 557 and lost $1,527. Together that is -$2,346, or -1.5%, at an average entry of 50.5¢. Twelve recent results we checked matched Polymarket.
• That result is what you would expect from the method. A day has 96 quarter-hour slots, each with about 30 results in a 30-day window; a recent 9.2 signal rested on 29 markets. Across that many slots, some will look lopsided by chance alone, and the site's own warning is that 8/10 does not mean an 80% chance of winning. Sample alerts on the home page such as “68% DOWN” should be read with that in mind. In the log, signals of 9 or more won about 50%, and those of 8 to 8.5 won 49.4%.
• The page's advice is to enter below its 49.7¢ break-even, and its table shows the same signals earning 10.4% at 45¢. That table changes the price and keeps the outcomes, so it is arithmetic and not a result: nothing shows such prices can be had on these signals. The experiment covers BTC 15-minute markets only, so the other coins and timeframes have no record. The how-it-works text still describes a 52¢ assumption, while the figures use market prices.
• There is little to risk in using it, since it is free and asks for nothing, but also little to hold anyone to. The site has no terms or privacy page, and no person or company is named; contact is by Telegram, X and email. The domain was registered on Jun 15, 2026. We read the home, Edge Finder, history, track record, guide, FAQ and contact pages and the track record's data file; we did not use the Telegram bot, and we did not check the leaderboard or wallet figures.

Markets PolyEdgeFinder covers

• Polymarket crypto Up or Down markets: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, BNB and HYPE, at 5m, 15m, 1h, 4h and 1d