Substantial-Service
Polymarket trader · Sports · since October 2025
Substantial-Service has made $5.4M on Polymarket since October 2025, most of it in sports markets.
It is trading now — about 1,257 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 11,259 markets traded so far.
84% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 38% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy Substantial-Service?
Not copyable: market maker.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 13, 2026
- Not a market maker84% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed1,257 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 38% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 39% of all-time profit
- Enough markets11,259 markets traded
- Winning lately−$288K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$5.4M all-time
Market maker. 84% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 38% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Speed trader. 1,257 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.
Not winning lately. −$288K over the last 90 days. Whatever worked before isn't working now.
Down this month. −$10.7M over the last 30 days.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “market maker”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How Substantial-Service trades
- Fills a day
- 1,257
- Resting (maker) fills
- 84%
- Median buy price
- 55¢
- Median fill
- $3
- Fills that sell
- 0%
- Open positions
- 13
- Best market's share
- 39%
- Worst drawdown
- $2.5M
- Weeks in profit
- 62%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Sports+$2.1M
- Politics+$209K
- Crypto+$26K
- Economics+$20K
- Finance+$1.7K
Biggest wins
- Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes+$2.1M
- Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes+$1.4M
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes+$1.3M
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes+$1.0M
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta BravesCincinnati Reds+$1.0M
Biggest losses
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?No | 51¢ | 64¢ | $73K | +$14K |
| Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?No | 40¢ | 43¢ | $63K | +$3.7K |
| Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico BondioliEnrico Dalla Valle | 56¢ | 84¢ | $58K | +$19K |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsLGD Gaming | 51¢ | 50¢ | $50K | −$1.5K |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 86¢ | 86¢ | $47K | +$301 |
Latest fills
- BuyLisbon: Martha Matoula vs Giorgia PedoneMartha Matoula$63 at 68¢ · Oct 13, 2026
- BuyCatania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico BondioliEnrico Dalla Valle$28K at 56¢ · Oct 13, 2026
- BuyCatania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico BondioliEnrico Dalla Valle$12K at 56¢ · Oct 13, 2026
- BuyShanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander BublikAlexander Zverev$13K at 49¢ · Oct 13, 2026
- BuyShanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander BublikAlexander Zverev$5.8K at 33¢ · Oct 13, 2026
- BuyWill Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13?Yes$0 at 7.0¢ · Oct 13, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsSubstantial-Service fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
Polyfollow
Automated copy-trading for Polymarket. Follow proven top traders and replicate their positions automatically, so your book tracks theirs without manual order entry.
Ratio
Social prediction-market app for iOS and Android built around copying Polymarket traders. Browse markets, follow forecasters from a global leaderboard, mirror their positions with your own sizing, and read the reasoning they post next to each trade. Wallet tracking, alerts and portfolio analytics sit alongside the feed. The wallet is self-custodial — you hold the keys and can export them — and every trade settles on Polymarket itself, not on Ratio's infrastructure.
Polycool
Mobile-first Polymarket app for copy trading and market discovery. A Smart Feed shows what winning traders are buying right now, an Insider Feed flags suspicious high-conviction bets, and you can copy up to 4 traders with slippage guards across 30,000+ markets — funding by card, Apple Pay or USDC.
Substantial-Service: questions people ask
- How much has Substantial-Service made on Polymarket?
- Substantial-Service has made $5.4M on Polymarket since October 2025, most of it in sports markets: +$5.4M all-time on $1.2B of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: −$10.7M.
- Is Substantial-Service worth copying?
- Not copyable: market maker. 84% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 38% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does Substantial-Service trade?
- Mostly sports markets — 89% of its profit. It has traded 11,259 markets; its median buy is at 55¢ and its median fill is $3.
- How do I copy Substantial-Service's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x2c335066fe58fe9237c3d3dc7b275c2a034a0563. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 13, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.