Shallow-Diadem
Polymarket trader · Weather · since May 2026
Shallow-Diadem has made $8.0K on Polymarket since May 2026, most of it in weather markets.
It is trading now — about 1,145 fills a day, mostly taking the best available price, with 58,956 markets traded so far.
1,145 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.
Shallow-Diadem's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | −$53K | +$14K |
| Oct 2026 | +$37K | +$67K |
| Sep 2026 | +$12K | +$31K |
| Aug 2026 | +$8.8K | +$19K |
| Jul 2026 | +$7.3K | +$9.7K |
| Jun 2026 | +$2.3K | +$2.4K |
| May 2026 | +$119 | +$120 |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy Shallow-Diadem?
Not copyable: speed trader.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 12, 2026
- Not a market maker46% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed1,145 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 51% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 318% of all-time profit
- Enough markets58,956 markets traded
- Winning lately+$29 over 90 days
- Winning overall+$8.0K all-time
Trades both sides. It buys both outcomes in 51% of its markets — arbitrage or hedging that only works at its own prices and timing.
Speed trader. 1,145 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.
One big win. 318% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it gave back $85K, 86% of its peak profit.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “speed trader”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How Shallow-Diadem trades
- Fills a day
- 1,145
- Resting (maker) fills
- 46%
- Median buy price
- 68¢
- Median fill
- $4
- Fills that sell
- 0%
- Open positions
- 30
- Best market's share
- 318%
- Worst drawdown
- $85K
- Weeks in profit
- 88%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Weather62% of gains+$5.1K
- Sports31% of gains+$2.5K
- Crypto4% of gains+$333
- Culture2% of gains+$141
- Finance1% of gains+$46
- Economics1% of losses−$3
- Tech43% of losses−$107
- Politics56% of losses−$141
Biggest wins
- Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No+$25K
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No+$22K
- Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?No+$18K
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?No+$16K
- Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No+$14K
Biggest losses
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CU Técnica de Cajamarca vs. CD Los Chankas end in a draw?Yes | 33¢ | 99¢ | $592 | +$392 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 80¢ | 87¢ | $370 | +$29 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes | 80¢ | 89¢ | $181 | +$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 12?Yes | 77¢ | 87¢ | $107 | +$11 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | 55¢ | 97¢ | $51 | +$22 |
Latest fills
- BuyWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 12?Yes$7 at 71¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 12?Yes$2 at 74¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 12?Yes$0 at 1.7¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill Madison Huang be the next CEO of NVIDIA?No$23 at 99¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill Eric Schmidt be the next CEO of NVIDIA?No$15 at 100¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?No$2 at 32¢ · Nov 12, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsShallow-Diadem fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
Kreo
Telegram bots for Polymarket and Kalshi built around copy trading. Each copy task follows one wallet with its own buy mode — fixed amount, exact copy, a percentage of the leader's size or portfolio-weighted — under…
PolyGun
Telegram bot for trading Polymarket without a browser: browse markets, buy and sell instantly, set limit orders, copy wallets and track the portfolio from one chat.
Olympus
Polymarket web terminal built around copy trading that keeps running on Olympus's servers after you close the tab.
Shallow-Diadem: questions people ask
- How much has Shallow-Diadem made on Polymarket?
- Shallow-Diadem has made $8.0K on Polymarket since May 2026, most of it in weather markets: +$8.0K all-time on $3.7M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$134K.
- How has Shallow-Diadem's profit changed over time?
- Shallow-Diadem's cumulative PnL went from +$1 on May 17, 2026 to +$14K on Nov 12, 2026. It peaked at +$73K on Nov 5, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$59K, from Nov 5, 2026 to Nov 12, 2026. Best month: Oct 2026 (+$37K); worst: Nov 2026 (−$53K). Up in 6 of 7 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is Shallow-Diadem worth copying?
- Not copyable: speed trader. 1,145 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does Shallow-Diadem trade?
- Mostly weather markets — 62% of its profit. It has traded 58,956 markets; its median buy is at 68¢ and its median fill is $4.
- How do I copy Shallow-Diadem's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x4e72c22cd76f9973a48aedfd79feeaacc8b7ffb9. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.