arjennnnn
Polymarket trader · Economics · since January 2025
arjennnnn has made $140K on Polymarket since January 2025, mostly in economics and politics markets.
It is trading now — about 118 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 1,385 markets traded so far.
82% of its fills rest on the book, 118 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
arjennnnn's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | +$86K | +$165K |
| Oct 2026 | +$48K | +$79K |
| Sep 2026 | +$23K | +$31K |
| Aug 2026 | −$269 | +$7.6K |
| Jul 2026 | +$464 | +$7.8K |
| Jun 2026 | −$2.9K | +$7.4K |
| May 2026 | +$833 | +$10K |
| Apr 2026 | −$11K | +$9.4K |
| Mar 2026 | −$116K | +$21K |
| Feb 2026 | +$35K | +$137K |
| Jan 2026 | +$25K | +$102K |
| Dec 2025 | +$23K | +$77K |
| Nov 2025 | +$12K | +$54K |
| Oct 2025 | +$30K | +$42K |
| Sep 2025 | +$307 | +$12K |
| Aug 2025 | +$159 | +$12K |
| Jul 2025 | +$6.1K | +$12K |
| Jun 2025 | +$965 | +$5.5K |
| May 2025 | +$3.9K | +$4.5K |
| Apr 2025 | +$588 | +$611 |
| Mar 2025 | +$9 | +$23 |
| Feb 2025 | +$9 | +$14 |
| Jan 2025 | +$5 | +$5 |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy arjennnnn?
Not copyable: market maker.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 12, 2026
- Not a market maker82% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed118 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 6% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 178% of all-time profit
- Enough markets1,385 markets traded
- Winning lately+$158K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$140K all-time
Market maker. 82% of its fills rest on the book, 118 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
One big win. 178% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it gave back $133K, 81% of its peak profit.
Buys near-certainties. Median buy at 94¢: many small wins, and one miss costs a lot of them.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “market maker”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How arjennnnn trades
- Fills a day
- 118
- Resting (maker) fills
- 82%
- Median buy price
- 94¢
- Median fill
- $70
- Fills that sell
- 8%
- Open positions
- 20
- Best market's share
- 178%
- Worst drawdown
- $133K
- Weeks in profit
- 64%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Economics58% of gains+$83K
- Politics31% of gains+$44K
- Culture8% of gains+$12K
- Tech1% of gains+$2.0K
- Crypto1% of gains+$1.2K
- Weather<1% of gains+$269
- Mentions<1% of gains+$99
- Finance1% of losses−$106
- Sports99% of losses−$20K
Biggest wins
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes+$248K
- Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Yes+$28K
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes+$25K
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes+$24K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes+$21K
Biggest losses
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 60¢ | 87¢ | $57K | +$17K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $6.6K | +$75 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $4.9K | +$102 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?No | 65¢ | 95¢ | $1.9K | +$596 |
| Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No | 79¢ | 86¢ | $855 | +$65 |
Latest fills
- SellJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?No$0 at 0.1¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- SellJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?No$0 at 0.1¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- SellJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?No$10 at 0.1¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?No$1.5K at 53¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?No$133 at 53¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?No$101 at 53¢ · Nov 12, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsarjennnnn fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
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Polyspect
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arjennnnn: questions people ask
- How much has arjennnnn made on Polymarket?
- arjennnnn has made $140K on Polymarket since January 2025, mostly in economics and politics markets: +$140K all-time on $17.5M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$336K.
- How has arjennnnn's profit changed over time?
- arjennnnn's cumulative PnL went from $0 on Jan 8, 2025 to +$165K on Nov 12, 2026. It closed at its high; the deepest drawdown was −$130K, from Feb 26, 2026 to Sep 10, 2026. Best month: Nov 2026 (+$86K); worst: Mar 2026 (−$116K). Up in 19 of 23 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is arjennnnn worth copying?
- Not copyable: market maker. 82% of its fills rest on the book, 118 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does arjennnnn trade?
- Mostly economics markets — 58% of its profit. It has traded 1,385 markets; its median buy is at 94¢ and its median fill is $70.
- How do I copy arjennnnn's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x24ded84d901a743cfee095f8082b0f9f647183cb. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.