fourcoin15m
Polymarket trader · Politics · since December 2025
fourcoin15m has made $9.2K on Polymarket since December 2025, most of it in politics markets.
It is trading now — about 98.7 fills a day, mostly taking the best available price, with 19,646 markets traded so far.
57% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
fourcoin15m's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | −$33K | +$8.9K |
| Oct 2026 | +$40K | +$41K |
| Sep 2026 | +$1.2K | +$1.3K |
| Aug 2026 | +$99 | +$39 |
| Jul 2026 | $0 | −$60 |
| Jun 2026 | $0 | −$60 |
| May 2026 | $0 | −$60 |
| Apr 2026 | $0 | −$60 |
| Mar 2026 | $0 | −$60 |
| Feb 2026 | $0 | −$60 |
| Jan 2026 | −$31 | −$60 |
| Dec 2025 | −$20 | −$29 |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy fourcoin15m?
Not copyable: one big win.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 5, 2026
- Not a market maker19% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed98.7 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 0% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 57% of all-time profit
- Enough markets19,646 markets traded
- Winning lately+$9.0K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$9.2K all-time
One big win. 57% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it gave back $45K, 83% of its peak profit.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “one big win”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How fourcoin15m trades
- Fills a day
- 98.7
- Resting (maker) fills
- 19%
- Median buy price
- 80¢
- Median fill
- $4
- Fills that sell
- 32%
- Open positions
- 2
- Best market's share
- 57%
- Worst drawdown
- $45K
- Weeks in profit
- 79%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics73% of gains+$6.8K
- Culture16% of gains+$1.4K
- Tech6% of gains+$530
- Finance5% of gains+$442
- Sports1% of gains+$92
- Economics<1% of gains+$36
- Crypto46% of losses−$66
- Weather54% of losses−$79
Biggest wins
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No+$5.2K
- Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No+$4.6K
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No+$3.3K
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?No+$3.3K
- Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No+$2.0K
Biggest losses
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?Yes−$743
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes−$407
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?No−$406
- Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes−$291
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes−$284
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond?Yes | 2¢ | 15¢ | $5 | +$5 |
| Will Ivanka Popović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes | 1.9¢ | 23¢ | $3 | +$3 |
Latest fills
- SellWill Genaro Vázquez Flores win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes$0 at 0.3¢ · Nov 5, 2026
- SellWill the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?Yes$0 at 0.1¢ · Nov 1, 2026
- SellWill Mark Speakman be the next Premier of New South Wales?No$0 at 82¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- SellWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$0 at 0.1¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- SellWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$0 at 0.1¢ · Oct 29, 2026
- SellWill any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Yes$2 at 10¢ · Oct 29, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsfourcoin15m fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
Olympus
Polymarket web terminal built around copy trading that keeps running on Olympus's servers after you close the tab.
PolyTraderBot
Six self-hosted Polymarket bots from one developer, sold separately at $10 a month each and delivered as full source with a browser dashboard, tests and a Docker setup for your own PC or VPS.
PolyBot
Telegram trading bot for Polymarket. Copy top wallets automatically, or build custom strategies with trigger prices, take-profit, stop-loss and trailing stops — orders route through your own non-custodial Safe wallet at…
fourcoin15m: questions people ask
- How much has fourcoin15m made on Polymarket?
- fourcoin15m has made $9.2K on Polymarket since December 2025, most of it in politics markets: +$9.2K all-time on $578K of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$23K.
- How has fourcoin15m's profit changed over time?
- fourcoin15m's cumulative PnL went from −$9 on Dec 19, 2025 to +$8.9K on Nov 12, 2026. It peaked at +$41K on Oct 29, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$33K, from Oct 29, 2026 to Nov 12, 2026. Best month: Oct 2026 (+$40K); worst: Nov 2026 (−$33K). Up in 3 of 12 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is fourcoin15m worth copying?
- Not copyable: one big win. 57% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does fourcoin15m trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 73% of its profit. It has traded 19,646 markets; its median buy is at 80¢ and its median fill is $4.
- How do I copy fourcoin15m's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x0629ad7753ba6a7bf22dc816df228e92364c501d. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.