Losing overallDeep drawdownsStreaky

greater-fools

Polymarket trader · since September 2026

greater-fools has made $0 on Polymarket since September 2026.

It is trading now — about 2.2 fills a day, mostly taking the best available price, with 6 markets traded so far.

$0 all-time: a good stretch on a losing record.

Profit & loss, all time$0
+$23Ksince Sep 7, 2026
Sep 7, 2026Nov 12, 2026
greater-fools's cumulative PnL went from +$38 on Sep 7, 2026 to +$23K on Nov 12, 2026. It closed at its high; the deepest drawdown was −$41K, from Sep 7, 2026 to Nov 5, 2026. Best month: Nov 2026 (+$53K); worst: Sep 2026 (−$32K). Up in 2 of 3 months.
greater-fools's PnL by month
MonthPnL in monthCumulative
Nov 2026+$53K+$23K
Oct 2026+$2.8K−$29K
Sep 2026−$32K−$32K

Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.

All-time PnL$0
30-day PnL+$70K
Volume$722K
Markets traded6

Should you copy greater-fools?

Not copyable: losing overall.

  • Still tradingLast fill Nov 8, 2026
  • Not a market maker30% of fills rest on the book
  • Human speed2.2 fills a day
  • Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 0% of its markets
  • Not one lucky marketNo profit to concentrate
  • Enough markets6 markets traded
  • Winning lately+$23K over 90 days
  • Winning overall$0 all-time

Too few markets. Only 6 markets traded — too few to tell skill from luck.

Losing overall. $0 all-time: a good stretch on a losing record.

Deep drawdowns. At its worst it was $50K below its peak — more than its peak profit.

Streaky. Up in only 44% of its recent weeks.

Copy check: what a follower would have made

We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “losing overall”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.

How greater-fools trades

Fills a day
2.2
Resting (maker) fills
30%
Median buy price
20¢
Median fill
$104
Fills that sell
0%
Open positions
6
Best market's share
—
Worst drawdown
$50K
Weeks in profit
44%

Fill statistics cover the last 90 days; maker share, its latest 500 fills.

Latest fills

  • BuyWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$35 at 2.9¢ · Nov 8, 2026
  • BuyWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$210 at 2.8¢ · Nov 8, 2026
  • BuyWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$10 at 2.7¢ · Nov 8, 2026
  • BuyWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$124 at 2.6¢ · Nov 8, 2026
  • BuyWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$8 at 2.5¢ · Nov 8, 2026
  • BuyWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$7 at 2.2¢ · Nov 5, 2026

greater-fools: questions people ask

How much has greater-fools made on Polymarket?
greater-fools has made $0 on Polymarket since September 2026: $0 all-time on $722K of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$70K.
How has greater-fools's profit changed over time?
greater-fools's cumulative PnL went from +$38 on Sep 7, 2026 to +$23K on Nov 12, 2026. It closed at its high; the deepest drawdown was −$41K, from Sep 7, 2026 to Nov 5, 2026. Best month: Nov 2026 (+$53K); worst: Sep 2026 (−$32K). Up in 2 of 3 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
Is greater-fools worth copying?
Not copyable: losing overall. $0 all-time: a good stretch on a losing record. Past results don't predict future ones.
What does greater-fools trade?
It has traded 6 markets; its median buy is at 20¢ and its median fill is $104.
How do I copy greater-fools's trades?
Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x216b0f7fb8cc78d5035ba8d4ee67a1e71d91d8a5. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.

Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.