greater-fools
Polymarket trader · since September 2026
greater-fools has made $0 on Polymarket since September 2026.
It is trading now — about 2.2 fills a day, mostly taking the best available price, with 6 markets traded so far.
$0 all-time: a good stretch on a losing record.
greater-fools's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | +$53K | +$23K |
| Oct 2026 | +$2.8K | −$29K |
| Sep 2026 | −$32K | −$32K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy greater-fools?
Not copyable: losing overall.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 8, 2026
- Not a market maker30% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed2.2 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 0% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketNo profit to concentrate
- Enough markets6 markets traded
- Winning lately+$23K over 90 days
- Winning overall$0 all-time
Too few markets. Only 6 markets traded — too few to tell skill from luck.
Losing overall. $0 all-time: a good stretch on a losing record.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it was $50K below its peak — more than its peak profit.
Streaky. Up in only 44% of its recent weeks.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “losing overall”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How greater-fools trades
- Fills a day
- 2.2
- Resting (maker) fills
- 30%
- Median buy price
- 20¢
- Median fill
- $104
- Fills that sell
- 0%
- Open positions
- 6
- Best market's share
- —
- Worst drawdown
- $50K
- Weeks in profit
- 44%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days; maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 23¢ | 43¢ | $69K | +$33K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 38¢ | 75¢ | $66K | +$32K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 21¢ | 22¢ | $27K | +$377 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 7.2¢ | 3¢ | $7.9K | −$11K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 19¢ | 11¢ | $4.7K | −$3.8K |
Latest fills
- BuyWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$35 at 2.9¢ · Nov 8, 2026
- BuyWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$210 at 2.8¢ · Nov 8, 2026
- BuyWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$10 at 2.7¢ · Nov 8, 2026
- BuyWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$124 at 2.6¢ · Nov 8, 2026
- BuyWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$8 at 2.5¢ · Nov 8, 2026
- BuyWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$7 at 2.2¢ · Nov 5, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsgreater-fools fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.

Olympus
Polymarket web terminal built around copy trading that keeps running on Olympus's servers after you close the tab.

PolyTraderBot
Six self-hosted Polymarket bots from one developer, sold separately at $10 a month each and delivered as full source with a browser dashboard, tests and a Docker setup for your own PC or VPS.

PolyBot
Telegram trading bot for Polymarket. Copy top wallets automatically, or build custom strategies with trigger prices, take-profit, stop-loss and trailing stops — orders route through your own non-custodial Safe wallet at…
greater-fools: questions people ask
- How much has greater-fools made on Polymarket?
- greater-fools has made $0 on Polymarket since September 2026: $0 all-time on $722K of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$70K.
- How has greater-fools's profit changed over time?
- greater-fools's cumulative PnL went from +$38 on Sep 7, 2026 to +$23K on Nov 12, 2026. It closed at its high; the deepest drawdown was −$41K, from Sep 7, 2026 to Nov 5, 2026. Best month: Nov 2026 (+$53K); worst: Sep 2026 (−$32K). Up in 2 of 3 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is greater-fools worth copying?
- Not copyable: losing overall. $0 all-time: a good stretch on a losing record. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does greater-fools trade?
- It has traded 6 markets; its median buy is at 20¢ and its median fill is $104.
- How do I copy greater-fools's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x216b0f7fb8cc78d5035ba8d4ee67a1e71d91d8a5. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.