Top Polymarket traders losing overall
Polymarket's 30-day leaderboard ranks the last month alone. A wallet can lead it and still be down over its whole history — a big month after a string of bigger losses.
Size and a recent streak look like skill on a leaderboard. The full record is the better guide to what comes next, and here it is a loss.
84 wallets, by all-time profit
A wallet is here when its all-time PnL is zero or below. The first columns are the numbers each wallet fails it on. We check every wallet that has made Polymarket's all-time or 30-day top 100, overall or in Crypto, every day. For 26 of these 84 it is the first check they fail; the last column names the first one for the rest.
| Trader | First fail | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1916JConnolly | +$24K | $0 | +$4.9K | Stopped trading |
| blahblah344 | +$81K | $0 | +$26K | Stopped trading |
| greater-fools | +$23K | $0 | +$70K | Losing overall |
| KatsuManager87 | +$100K | $0 | +$39K | Stopped trading |
| TahitiBob | +$128K | $0 | +$50K | Stopped trading |
| VelvetNova27 | +$120K | $0 | +$51K | Stopped trading |
| aa9872aa | +$48K | −$65 | +$47K | Stopped trading |
| KARIZMATIKU | +$26K | −$114 | +$33K | Speed trader |
| ballinco | −$274 | −$194 | +$24K | Stopped trading |
| jacemaester | +$34K | −$1.3K | +$32K | Stopped trading |
| Nobey1 | −$1.3K | −$1.9K | +$32K | Market maker |
| 0x976d…8b63 | −$57 | −$2.0K | +$28K | Market maker |
| never-stop-clicking | +$17K | −$2.1K | −$7.1K | Losing overall |
| Lively-Authenticity | +$511K | −$2.6K | +$61K | Market maker |
| 13897651 | +$50K | −$3.3K | +$17K | Market maker |
| Egozic86 | −$65K | −$4.0K | +$25K | Losing overall |
| notfairplay | +$4.8K | −$4.3K | +$11K | Speed trader |
| Unwilling-Entirety | +$54K | −$7.6K | +$2.2K | Market maker |
| Agile-Spacing | +$135K | −$15K | +$1.1K | Speed trader |
| fleeth | +$8.9K | −$17K | +$22K | Losing overall |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | −$6.9K | −$19K | +$247K | Market maker |
| Facaie | −$21K | −$19K | +$5.6K | Losing overall |
| Hsilverbasher | +$47K | −$25K | +$14K | Market maker |
| yabanci | −$6.1K | −$31K | +$107K | Losing overall |
| hqb.prediction | +$37K | −$33K | +$43K | Losing overall |
| tin54321 | −$12K | −$34K | −$14K | Stopped trading |
| Ne8om | −$36K | −$36K | — | Stopped trading |
| borderlocket | −$15K | −$53K | +$3.6K | Speed trader |
| uninformedfloww | −$18K | −$54K | +$7.5K | Speed trader |
| PacersThreeandahalf | +$515K | −$63K | +$506K | Market maker |
| beeepbeep | −$63K | −$72K | −$402K | Market maker |
| BTCmaxi | −$16K | −$73K | −$37K | Losing overall |
| timetowander | +$83K | −$78K | +$162K | Market maker |
| WarriorH | −$56K | −$83K | +$197K | Market maker |
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts | −$309K | −$88K | −$992K | Losing overall |
| shaillakhani | −$61K | −$93K | +$5.2K | Speed trader |
| 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | −$54K | −$102K | +$3.5K | Market maker |
| SingW | +$7.1K | −$104K | +$14K | Market maker |
| Serene-Decision | +$130K | −$113K | +$156K | Market maker |
| Polkadot-Frog | +$121K | −$115K | +$43K | Market maker |
| 0xNuttawut | +$50K | −$133K | +$24K | Market maker |
| Imperfect-Fennel-Greenhouse | −$134K | −$135K | +$205K | Stopped trading |
| Bonereaper | +$309K | −$137K | +$91K | Speed trader |
| ch27er | +$7.1K | −$170K | −$7.2K | Losing overall |
| floatingraft | +$57K | −$180K | +$277K | Losing overall |
| lllllllIlll | −$18K | −$182K | −$7.6K | Market maker |
| pilimili | +$65K | −$219K | +$35K | Losing overall |
| Melody626 | −$374K | −$220K | +$51K | Market maker |
| RichieRicher | +$923K | −$224K | +$158K | Losing overall |
| 1l2ihj34li12u34 | −$104K | −$248K | +$216K | Market maker |
| cigarettes | −$208K | −$258K | +$615K | Speed trader |
| MissaoComFlavio | −$83K | −$260K | −$263K | Losing overall |
| Kkunn | −$176K | −$317K | −$374K | Market maker |
| lissartter | −$161K | −$323K | −$130K | Market maker |
| Scaly-Tracksuit | +$1.2M | −$331K | +$1.2M | Losing overall |
| totoro3miyazaki | −$37K | −$338K | −$1.4M | Losing overall |
| 0x16bb…8492 | −$60K | −$343K | +$43K | Losing overall |
| strike123 | −$74 | −$379K | — | Stopped trading |
| bbb17367162806 | −$360K | −$420K | −$32K | Losing overall |
| Stable-Armament | −$495K | −$444K | −$203K | Losing overall |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling | +$109K | −$463K | +$458K | Speed trader |
| CryptoScam | −$8.2K | −$540K | +$308K | Market maker |
| Pwaddler | +$72K | −$541K | +$38K | Losing overall |
| Painfulvoid | +$46K | −$609K | +$46K | Losing overall |
| 0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff52814 | −$19K | −$643K | +$176K | Losing overall |
| chubbytoro | −$449K | −$652K | −$591K | Market maker |
| SmartPredictOrNot | +$1.4M | −$677K | — | Stopped trading |
| ThisAgain | +$19K | −$738K | −$63K | Losing overall |
| pleaseplease123 | +$669K | −$857K | — | Stopped trading |
| 3edmond.dantes | −$1.1M | −$935K | −$104K | Losing overall |
| mooseborzoii | −$930K | −$1.0M | −$1.9M | Market maker |
| robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | +$537K | −$1.1M | +$829K | Market maker |
| Cinibengales | +$24K | −$1.1M | +$185K | Market maker |
| Dual-Criticism | −$363K | −$1.3M | −$811K | Market maker |
| Zzzz87 | +$67K | −$1.6M | −$91K | Losing overall |
| gransaaa | −$586K | −$1.9M | −$637K | Stopped trading |
| therealbatman | $0 | −$1.9M | — | Stopped trading |
| purplegatto | +$228K | −$2.0M | +$260K | Speed trader |
| nigiri99 | −$233K | −$2.4M | −$150K | Speed trader |
| GoalLineGhost | +$788K | −$2.4M | +$349K | Market maker |
| Multicolored-Self | +$534K | −$3.5M | +$702K | Losing overall |
| Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | −$3.1M | −$4.4M | −$4.2M | Market maker |
| anoin123 | +$537K | −$4.8M | +$211K | Market maker |
| wr0ngw4yb3tt0r | −$715K | −$4.8M | −$137K | Stopped trading |
The other checks a wallet can fail
- Stopped trading218
- Market maker209
- Speed trader235
- Trades both sides39
- One big win168
- Not winning lately207
- Too few markets112
The thresholds for all eight are in how we check a wallet.
The wallets that do pass
32 of 608 wallets pass every check and still paid a copier one to two minutes behind over the last month, after spread and fees.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API. POLBOTS is not affiliated with Polymarket or with any trader listed. Nothing here is financial advice.