How much has lava-lava made on Polymarket?

lava-lava has made $1.2M on Polymarket since April 2023, almost all of it in politics markets: +$1.2M all-time on $43.2M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$248K.

What does lava-lava trade?

Mostly politics markets — 99% of its profit. It has traded 1,647 markets; its median buy is at 62¢ and its median fill is $37.

How do I copy lava-lava's trades?

Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x629bc4a1e53e1d475beb7ea3d388791e96dd995a. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.

POLBOTS.COM

Market makerPoliticsHolds both sides

lava-lava

Q: Is lava-lava worth copying?

Not copyable: market maker. 87% of its fills rest on the book, 283 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.

Polymarket trader · Politics · since April 2023

lava-lava has made $1.2M on Polymarket since April 2023, almost all of it in politics markets.

It is trading now — about 283 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 1,647 markets traded so far.

87% of its fills rest on the book, 283 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.

Profile on Polymarket Copy check

Profit & loss, all time+$1.2M

+$1.3Msince Apr 20, 2023

$0$500K$1M

Jan ’24Jan ’25Jan ’26Apr 20, 2023Oct 29, 2026

lava-lava's cumulative PnL went from $0 on Apr 20, 2023 to +$1.3M on Oct 29, 2026. It closed at its high; the deepest drawdown was −$214K, from Oct 16, 2025 to Oct 23, 2025. Best month: Apr 2026 (+$293K); worst: Oct 2025 (−$111K). Up in 32 of 43 months.

lava-lava's PnL by month

Month	PnL in month	Cumulative
Oct 2026	+$247K	+$1.3M
Sep 2026	+$35K	+$1.0M
Aug 2026	+$6.0K	+$987K
Jul 2026	+$3.9K	+$981K
Jun 2026	+$95K	+$977K
May 2026	−$25K	+$882K
Apr 2026	+$293K	+$907K
Mar 2026	+$69K	+$613K
Feb 2026	−$4.5K	+$544K
Jan 2026	+$51K	+$548K
Dec 2025	+$49K	+$497K
Nov 2025	+$2.1K	+$448K
Oct 2025	−$111K	+$446K
Sep 2025	−$22K	+$556K
Aug 2025	+$23K	+$579K
Jul 2025	−$15K	+$555K
Jun 2025	+$292K	+$571K
May 2025	+$71K	+$278K
Apr 2025	+$9.9K	+$208K
Mar 2025	+$8.4K	+$198K
Feb 2025	−$2.0K	+$189K
Jan 2025	+$7.8K	+$191K
Dec 2024	+$4.4K	+$183K
Nov 2024	−$96K	+$179K
Oct 2024	+$76K	+$275K
Sep 2024	+$1.4K	+$200K
Aug 2024	+$97K	+$198K
Jul 2024	+$40K	+$101K
Jun 2024	+$8.6K	+$61K
May 2024	+$526	+$52K
Apr 2024	+$1.5K	+$52K
Mar 2024	−$2.2K	+$50K
Feb 2024	+$2.7K	+$53K
Jan 2024	−$14K	+$50K
Dec 2023	+$1.2K	+$64K
Nov 2023	+$38K	+$63K
Oct 2023	−$1.5K	+$25K
Sep 2023	+$1.3K	+$26K
Aug 2023	+$299	+$25K
Jul 2023	−$3.1K	+$25K
Jun 2023	+$16K	+$28K
May 2023	+$11K	+$12K
Apr 2023	+$120	+$120

Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.

All-time PnL+$1.2M

30-day PnL+$248K

Volume$43.2M

Markets traded1,647

Should you copy lava-lava?

Not copyable: market maker.

Still tradingLast fill Oct 29, 2026
Not a market maker87% of fills rest on the book
Human speed283 fills a day
Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 17% of its markets
Not one lucky marketBest market is 10% of all-time profit
Enough markets1,647 markets traded
Winning lately+$288K over 90 days
Winning overall+$1.2M all-time

Market maker. 87% of its fills rest on the book, 283 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.

Speed trader. 283 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.

Holds both sides. Holds both outcomes in 19 open markets — hedges a copy can't mirror.

Copy check: what a follower would have made

We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “market maker”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.

How lava-lava trades

Fills a day: 283
Resting (maker) fills: 87%
Median buy price: 62¢
Median fill: $37
Fills that sell: 2%
Open positions: 191
Best market's share: 10%
Worst drawdown: $223K
Weeks in profit: 54%

Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.

Where the profit comes from

Politics99% of gains+$1.2M
Finance1% of gains+$8.1K
Culture<1% of gains+$5.0K
Crypto<1% of gains+$1.5K
Economics<1% of gains+$1.4K
Weather<1% of gains+$481
Tech8% of losses−$91
Sports92% of losses−$1.1K

Biggest wins

Biggest losses

Largest open positions

Market	Bought at	Now	Value	PnL
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes	48¢	99¢	$39K	+$20K
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes	83¢	98¢	$36K	+$5.4K
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No	40¢	44¢	$7.4K	+$682
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No	24¢	28¢	$6.2K	+$708
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No	73¢	71¢	$6.1K	−$224

Latest fills

BuyWill Yisrael Beiteinu win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No$80 at 25¢ · Oct 29, 2026
BuyBlue mega-tsunami in 2026?Yes$6 at 22¢ · Oct 29, 2026
BuyBlue mega-tsunami in 2026?Yes$6 at 22¢ · Oct 29, 2026
BuyBlue mega-tsunami in 2026?Yes$6 at 22¢ · Oct 29, 2026
BuyBlue mega-tsunami in 2026?Yes$102 at 22¢ · Oct 29, 2026
BuyWill Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes$4 at 8¢ · Oct 29, 2026

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lava-lava: questions people ask

How much has lava-lava made on Polymarket?: lava-lava has made $1.2M on Polymarket since April 2023, almost all of it in politics markets: +$1.2M all-time on $43.2M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$248K.
How has lava-lava's profit changed over time?: lava-lava's cumulative PnL went from $0 on Apr 20, 2023 to +$1.3M on Oct 29, 2026. It closed at its high; the deepest drawdown was −$214K, from Oct 16, 2025 to Oct 23, 2025. Best month: Apr 2026 (+$293K); worst: Oct 2025 (−$111K). Up in 32 of 43 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
Is lava-lava worth copying?: Not copyable: market maker. 87% of its fills rest on the book, 283 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.
What does lava-lava trade?: Mostly politics markets — 99% of its profit. It has traded 1,647 markets; its median buy is at 62¢ and its median fill is $37.
How do I copy lava-lava's trades?: Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x629bc4a1e53e1d475beb7ea3d388791e96dd995a. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.

Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 29, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.