PiEDawg
Polymarket trader · Politics · since July 2025
PiEDawg has made $22K on Polymarket since July 2025, most of it in politics markets.
It is trading now — about 193 fills a day, mostly taking the best available price, with 4,166 markets traded so far.
It passes every structural check, but over the last 5 days a copier one to two minutes behind would have made −0.7% — the wallet itself made −0.2%.
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy PiEDawg?
It passes our checks, but a copier one to two minutes behind lost money over the last 30 days.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 11, 2026
- Not a market maker43% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed193 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 26% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 25% of all-time profit
- Enough markets4,166 markets traded
- Winning lately+$223K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$22K all-time
- Survives the copy delayA copier 1–2 min behind: −0.7% over 5 days
Copy check: what a follower would have made
Its last 1,000 fills over 5 days, replayed twice: at the prices PiEDawg got, and at the price a copier would get a little later — the market's midpoint plus half a typical spread, plus the taker fee. Same sizes, same exits; open positions valued at today's price (13% of the money went into markets that have already resolved).
| Who | Return | PnL | Paid extra |
|---|---|---|---|
| PiEDawg | −0.2% | −$65 | — |
| Copier, under a minute behind | −0.9% | −$250 | +0.5¢ / share |
| Copier, 1–2 minutes behind | −0.7% | −$182 | +0.3¢ / share |
| Copier, 5–6 minutes behind | −0.7% | −$180 | +0.3¢ / share |
Copier PnL is at PiEDawg's size, so compare the returns, not the dollars. Not modelled — all in the copier's favour: its own price impact, partial fills, and fills it would have missed.
How PiEDawg trades
- Fills a day
- 193
- Resting (maker) fills
- 43%
- Median buy price
- 78¢
- Median fill
- $3
- Fills that sell
- 60%
- Open positions
- 101
- Best market's share
- 25%
- Worst drawdown
- $14K
- Weeks in profit
- 100%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics+$20K
- Tech+$2.3K
- Sports+$637
- Finance+$294
- Economics+$231
- Crypto+$151
- Mentions−$63
- Culture−$288
- Weather−$943
Biggest wins
- Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No+$5.4K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No+$2.0K
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No+$1.5K
- Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No+$1.3K
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No+$997
Biggest losses
- Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Yes−$1.0K
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes−$849
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?No−$776
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes−$670
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes−$627
Latest fills
- SellKyle Pitts Sr.: Anytime TouchdownNo$77 at 78¢ · Oct 11, 2026
- SellKyle Pitts Sr.: Anytime TouchdownNo$4 at 79¢ · Oct 11, 2026
- BuyKyle Pitts Sr.: Anytime TouchdownNo$84 at 80¢ · Oct 11, 2026
- SellDerrick Henry: Anytime TouchdownYes$4 at 54¢ · Oct 11, 2026
- SellDerrick Henry: Anytime TouchdownYes$53 at 54¢ · Oct 11, 2026
- BuyDerrick Henry: Anytime TouchdownYes$58 at 54¢ · Oct 11, 2026
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PiEDawg: questions people ask
- How much has PiEDawg made on Polymarket?
- PiEDawg has made $22K on Polymarket since July 2025, most of it in politics markets: +$22K all-time on $524K of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$175K.
- Is PiEDawg worth copying?
- It passes our checks, but a copier one to two minutes behind lost money over the last 30 days. We replayed its last 5 days of fills at the price a copier would get one to two minutes later, with the spread and the taker fee: −0.7% on money spent, against the wallet's own −0.2%. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does PiEDawg trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 85% of its profit. It has traded 4,166 markets; its median buy is at 78¢ and its median fill is $3.
- How do I copy PiEDawg's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xcf43b3b62f7881c831e2d2370b870f5e8a08b321. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 11, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.