Railcool
Polymarket trader · Politics · since April 2026
Railcool has made $515K on Polymarket since April 2026, almost all of it in politics markets.
It is trading now — about 16.3 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 266 markets traded so far.
Over the last 6 days it made +393.2% on the money it put in; a copier one to two minutes behind, paying the spread and the taker fee, would have made +130.0%.
Railcool's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | +$392K | +$546K |
| Oct 2026 | +$16K | +$154K |
| Sep 2026 | +$123K | +$138K |
| Aug 2026 | −$5.6K | +$15K |
| Jul 2026 | +$5.2K | +$20K |
| Jun 2026 | −$11K | +$15K |
| May 2026 | −$22K | +$27K |
| Apr 2026 | +$50K | +$49K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy Railcool?
Worth copying: a copier one to two minutes behind kept 69% of its 30-day return.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 7, 2026
- Not a market maker93% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed16.3 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 2% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 20% of all-time profit
- Enough markets266 markets traded
- Winning lately+$523K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$515K all-time
- Survives the copy delayA copier 1–2 min behind: +130.0% over 6 days
Limit orders. 93% of its fills rest on the book. It gets its own price; a copier chasing with market orders pays the spread.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
Its last 596 fills over 6 days, replayed twice: at the prices Railcool got, and at the price a copier would get a little later — the market's midpoint plus half a typical spread, plus the taker fee. Same sizes, same exits; open positions valued at today's price (81% of the money went into markets that have already resolved).
| Who | Return | PnL | Paid extra |
|---|---|---|---|
| Railcool | +393.2% | +$309K | — |
| Copier, under a minute behind | +124.6% | +$209K | +11.5¢ / share |
| Copier, 1–2 minutes behind | +130.0% | +$213K | +11.0¢ / share |
| Copier, 5–6 minutes behind | +117.9% | +$204K | +12.2¢ / share |
Copier PnL is at Railcool's size, so compare the returns, not the dollars. Not modelled — all in the copier's favour: its own price impact, partial fills, and fills it would have missed.
How Railcool trades
- Fills a day
- 16.3
- Resting (maker) fills
- 93%
- Median buy price
- 36¢
- Median fill
- $13
- Fills that sell
- 17%
- Open positions
- 5
- Best market's share
- 20%
- Worst drawdown
- $57K
- Weeks in profit
- 58%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics98% of gains+$532K
- Weather2% of gains+$9.1K
- Finance9% of losses−$2.4K
- Culture91% of losses−$23K
Biggest wins
- Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No+$102K
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes+$48K
- Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Yes+$45K
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes+$43K
- Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes+$34K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-38 House election by 0%-5%?No | 1¢ | 95¢ | $19K | +$19K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes | 2.2¢ | 0.9¢ | $2.5K | −$4.0K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes | 41¢ | 99¢ | $1.9K | +$1.1K |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $283 | −$15 |
| Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?Yes | 12¢ | 3¢ | $2 | −$5 |
Latest fills
- SellWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$90 at 1.8¢ · Nov 7, 2026
- SellWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$126 at 1.8¢ · Nov 7, 2026
- SellWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$90 at 1.8¢ · Nov 7, 2026
- SellWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$3.0K at 1.8¢ · Nov 7, 2026
- SellWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$50 at 1.8¢ · Nov 7, 2026
- SellWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$101 at 1.8¢ · Nov 6, 2026
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Railcool: questions people ask
- How much has Railcool made on Polymarket?
- Railcool has made $515K on Polymarket since April 2026, almost all of it in politics markets: +$515K all-time on $4.5M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$452K.
- How has Railcool's profit changed over time?
- Railcool's cumulative PnL went from −$1.4K on Apr 12, 2026 to +$546K on Nov 12, 2026. It peaked at +$548K on Nov 5, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$52K, from May 14, 2026 to Sep 3, 2026. Best month: Nov 2026 (+$392K); worst: May 2026 (−$22K). Up in 5 of 8 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is Railcool worth copying?
- Worth copying: a copier one to two minutes behind kept 69% of its 30-day return. We replayed its last 6 days of fills at the price a copier would get one to two minutes later, with the spread and the taker fee: +130.0% on money spent, against the wallet's own +393.2%. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does Railcool trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 98% of its profit. It has traded 266 markets; its median buy is at 36¢ and its median fill is $13.
- How do I copy Railcool's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x94c4fe3b18435aa92024c7c1589537fcda3f43ca. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.