Contestable-Parfait
Polymarket trader · Politics · since October 2026
Contestable-Parfait has made $412K on Polymarket since October 2026, almost all of it in politics markets.
It is trading now — about 1,807 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 455 markets traded so far.
95% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 33% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Contestable-Parfait's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | +$379K | +$492K |
| Oct 2026 | +$113K | +$113K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy Contestable-Parfait?
Not copyable: market maker.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 12, 2026
- Not a market maker95% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed1,807 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 33% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 35% of all-time profit
- Enough markets455 markets traded
- Winning lately+$492K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$412K all-time
Market maker. 95% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 33% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Speed trader. 1,807 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.
Holds both sides. Holds both outcomes in 7 open markets — hedges a copy can't mirror.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “market maker”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How Contestable-Parfait trades
- Fills a day
- 1,807
- Resting (maker) fills
- 95%
- Median buy price
- 44¢
- Median fill
- $34
- Fills that sell
- 0%
- Open positions
- 161
- Best market's share
- 35%
- Worst drawdown
- $89K
- Weeks in profit
- 100%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics100% of gains+$418K
- Sports<1% of gains+$685
- Crypto<1% of gains+$31
- Economics34% of losses−$2.4K
- Finance66% of losses−$4.7K
Biggest wins
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No+$145K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes+$82K
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No+$53K
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo+$32K
- Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes+$31K
Biggest losses
- Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No−$28K
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo−$22K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?No−$21K
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes−$20K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes−$16K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | $166K | +$11K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | 90¢ | 100¢ | $135K | +$13K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes | 61¢ | 99¢ | $99K | +$38K |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 79¢ | 92¢ | $96K | +$13K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 87¢ | 99¢ | $45K | +$5.5K |
Latest fills
- BuyWill Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?No$105 at 47¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?No$49 at 51¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?No$77 at 35¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?No$85 at 38¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?Yes$1 at 49¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA?Yes$1 at 49¢ · Nov 12, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsContestable-Parfait fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.

Rainmaker
AI-agent terminal that unifies arbitrage, copy-trading and analytics across Polymarket, Kalshi and Novig. Its Cloud9 agents snipe arbitrage between venues, score and replicate winning traders, and mine analytics — with…

Whalidate
Verified PartnerCopy trading for Polymarket that checks how a wallet made its money before you follow it. Its WhaleFinder replays each wallet's public history and scores the return on the money put in, the settled trades, the worst…

PolyWin
Verified PartnerTelegram bot that puts the whole Polymarket workflow in one chat: copy trading, two snipers, backtests and AI trader discovery.
Contestable-Parfait: questions people ask
- How much has Contestable-Parfait made on Polymarket?
- Contestable-Parfait has made $412K on Polymarket since October 2026, almost all of it in politics markets: +$412K all-time on $11.1M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$619K.
- How has Contestable-Parfait's profit changed over time?
- Contestable-Parfait's cumulative PnL went from +$125 on Oct 17, 2026 to +$492K on Nov 12, 2026. It closed at its high, with no drawdown deeper than 5% of its scale. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is Contestable-Parfait worth copying?
- Not copyable: market maker. 95% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 33% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does Contestable-Parfait trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 100% of its profit. It has traded 455 markets; its median buy is at 44¢ and its median fill is $34.
- How do I copy Contestable-Parfait's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xc301c1e034e71e1a6ce9684f029c4674a00466aa. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.