Worth copyingPoliticsLimit ordersHolds both sides

flawfence

Polymarket trader · Politics · since April 2026

flawfence has made $435K on Polymarket since April 2026, almost all of it in politics markets.

It is trading now — about 91.4 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 686 markets traded so far.

Over the last 11 days it made +19.5% on the money it put in; a copier one to two minutes behind, paying the spread and the taker fee, would have made +15.0%.

Profit & loss, all time+$435K
$535K−$11K
Apr 26, 2026Oct 11, 2026

Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.

All-time PnL+$435K
30-day PnL+$181K
Volume$28.7M
Markets traded686

Should you copy flawfence?

Worth copying: a copier one to two minutes behind kept 80% of its 30-day return.

  • Still tradingLast fill Oct 11, 2026
  • Not a market maker96% of fills rest on the book
  • Human speed91.4 fills a day
  • Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 5% of its markets
  • Not one lucky marketBest market is 30% of all-time profit
  • Enough markets686 markets traded
  • Winning lately+$17K over 90 days
  • Winning overall+$435K all-time
  • Survives the copy delayA copier 1–2 min behind: +15.0% over 11 days

Limit orders. 96% of its fills rest on the book. It gets its own price; a copier chasing with market orders pays the spread.

Holds both sides. Holds both outcomes in 3 open markets — hedges a copy can't mirror.

Copy check: what a follower would have made

Its last 1,000 fills over 11 days, replayed twice: at the prices flawfence got, and at the price a copier would get a little later — the market's midpoint plus half a typical spread, plus the taker fee. Same sizes, same exits; open positions valued at today's price (35% of the money went into markets that have already resolved).

WhoReturnPnLPaid extra
flawfence+19.5%+$86K—
Copier, under a minute behind+14.8%+$68K+1.6¢ / share
Copier, 1–2 minutes behind+15.0%+$69K+1.6¢ / share
Copier, 5–6 minutes behind+14.2%+$66K+1.9¢ / share

Copier PnL is at flawfence's size, so compare the returns, not the dollars. Not modelled — all in the copier's favour: its own price impact, partial fills, and fills it would have missed.

How flawfence trades

Fills a day
91.4
Resting (maker) fills
96%
Median buy price
37¢
Median fill
$21
Fills that sell
22%
Open positions
93
Best market's share
30%
Worst drawdown
$265K
Weeks in profit
71%

Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.

Where the profit comes from

  • Politics+$493K
  • Crypto+$8.7K
  • Weather−$2.5K
  • Economics−$6.6K
  • Sports−$58K

Latest fills

  • BuyWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No$6 at 65¢ · Oct 11, 2026
  • BuyWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No$18 at 65¢ · Oct 11, 2026
  • BuyBrowns vs. JetsJets$99 at 56¢ · Oct 11, 2026
  • BuyBrowns vs. JetsJets$1 at 56¢ · Oct 11, 2026
  • BuyBrowns vs. JetsJets$12 at 56¢ · Oct 11, 2026
  • BuyBrowns vs. JetsJets$1 at 56¢ · Oct 11, 2026

flawfence: questions people ask

How much has flawfence made on Polymarket?
flawfence has made $435K on Polymarket since April 2026, almost all of it in politics markets: +$435K all-time on $28.7M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$181K.
Is flawfence worth copying?
Worth copying: a copier one to two minutes behind kept 80% of its 30-day return. We replayed its last 11 days of fills at the price a copier would get one to two minutes later, with the spread and the taker fee: +15.0% on money spent, against the wallet's own +19.5%. Past results don't predict future ones.
What does flawfence trade?
Mostly politics markets — 98% of its profit. It has traded 686 markets; its median buy is at 37¢ and its median fill is $21.
How do I copy flawfence's trades?
Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x23d81ba9371e576015c1e562db09c689f56b0288. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.

Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 11, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.