SmartPredictOrNot
Polymarket trader · since September 2026
SmartPredictOrNot has lost $677K on Polymarket since September 2026.
It last traded on Oct 4, 2026, 39 days before this check, after 7 markets.
Even when it traded, it wasn't copyable — −$677K all-time: a good stretch on a losing record.
SmartPredictOrNot's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | $0 | −$511K |
| Oct 2026 | +$1.4M | −$511K |
| Sep 2026 | $0 | −$1.9M |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy SmartPredictOrNot?
Not copyable: stopped trading.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 4, 2026
- Not a market maker64% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed7.9 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 0% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketNo profit to concentrate
- Enough markets7 markets traded
- Winning lately+$1.4M over 90 days
- Winning overall−$677K all-time
Stopped trading. No fill since Oct 4, 2026 — 39 days before this check. There is nothing left to copy.
Too few markets. Only 7 markets traded — too few to tell skill from luck.
Losing overall. −$677K all-time: a good stretch on a losing record.
Limit orders. 64% of its fills rest on the book. It gets its own price; a copier chasing with market orders pays the spread.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it was $1.2M below its peak — more than its peak profit.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “stopped trading”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How SmartPredictOrNot trades
- Fills a day
- 7.9
- Resting (maker) fills
- 64%
- Median buy price
- 62¢
- Median fill
- $432
- Fills that sell
- 18%
- Open positions
- 0
- Best market's share
- —
- Worst drawdown
- $1.2M
- Weeks in profit
- 100%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days; maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Sports100% of losses−$677K
Biggest wins
- Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?Yes+$1.6M
- Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?Yes+$851K
- Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?Yes+$606K
- Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?Yes+$467K
Latest fills
- BuyAtlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers$11K at 68¢ · Oct 4, 2026
- BuyAtlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers$701K at 69¢ · Oct 4, 2026
- BuyAtlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers$114K at 69¢ · Oct 4, 2026
- BuyAtlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers$25K at 69¢ · Oct 4, 2026
- BuyAtlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers$104K at 69¢ · Oct 4, 2026
- BuyAtlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers$20 at 68¢ · Oct 4, 2026
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SmartPredictOrNot: questions people ask
- How much has SmartPredictOrNot made on Polymarket?
- SmartPredictOrNot has lost $677K on Polymarket since September 2026: −$677K all-time on $24.8M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: —.
- How has SmartPredictOrNot's profit changed over time?
- SmartPredictOrNot's cumulative PnL went from −$1.9M on Sep 24, 2026 to −$511K on Nov 12, 2026. It closed at its high, with no drawdown deeper than 5% of its scale. Best month: Oct 2026 (+$1.4M). Up in 1 of 3 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is SmartPredictOrNot worth copying?
- Not copyable: stopped trading. No fill since Oct 4, 2026 — 39 days before this check. There is nothing left to copy. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does SmartPredictOrNot trade?
- It has traded 7 markets; its median buy is at 62¢ and its median fill is $432.
- How do I copy SmartPredictOrNot's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xe6ca6ebbec97e8a46ff3dbdb2a99d46254fbbff4. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.