Convexly

About Convexly

Polymarket wallet checker that asks whether a record shows skill or luck. Paste an address and it shows the wallet's reported P&L, resolved positions and how much of its history the read actually covers, then how much of the profit came from the single biggest event, how its entry prices compared with outcomes, and an “Edge Score” ranking it against a fixed cohort of 8,656 wallets. The first check needs no account. Plans for watching wallets over time cost $9, $49 or $499 a month, and a one-off read of a wallet's settled positions reconciled against the Polygon chain costs $19. It does not trade or suggest whom to copy.

How Convexly works

• The figures we checked are Polymarket's own. On Nov 11, 2026 the site's sample wallet, Trevio, showed $32,069.66 of reported P&L across 36 resolved positions, and Polymarket's all-time profit for that address was $32,069.66 to the cent. What Convexly adds is the context the profile does not give: one event contributed $31,964.42 of that total, and without it the wallet was up $105.24. For anyone choosing a wallet to follow, that one line is the useful part.
• It is unusually careful about what it cannot show. The free check is labelled as available history only and “not lifetime P&L”, the home page reports that 31 of the 42 wallets on its public board had their full record rebuilt from Polygon on the day we looked, and the about page carries a correction from Aug 10, 2026 withdrawing an earlier claim that every result could be reproduced by a reader: the cohort behind the Edge Score has not been published. The score is a percentile against that April 2026 cohort, not a probability that a trader is skilled, and the site says so.
• The prices climb steeply. Free covers a check and one watched wallet, and $9 a month covers three; the jump to $499 a month for Trader buys alerts polled every five minutes on 25 wallets, which is a slow feed next to the tools in this catalog that push fills within a second. The activity emails on the lower plans arrive at most once per wallet every 20 hours and say themselves that they can miss trades.
• Convexly holds no keys and needs no wallet connection. It is run by Convexly LLC, a Wyoming company, under terms effective Mar 8, 2026 that name no governing law beyond “applicable law”; its processors are Supabase, Stripe, Resend, Vercel and, for optional AI features, OpenAI. We could not retrieve the domain's registration date. We read the home, wallet analyzer, pricing, about, API docs, trust, terms and privacy pages and ran the site's own sample check; we did not create an account or pay, so the watchlist emails, the $19 read and the API are untested by us.

Markets Convexly covers

• All Polymarket markets; some research also covers Manifold