Herdonia
Polymarket trader · Sports · since January 2026
Herdonia has made $121K on Polymarket since January 2026, almost all of it in sports markets.
It is trading now — about 740 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 10,020 markets traded so far.
99% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 40% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Herdonia's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | +$93K | +$291K |
| Oct 2026 | −$428K | +$198K |
| Sep 2026 | −$42K | +$626K |
| Aug 2026 | +$8.8K | +$669K |
| Jul 2026 | +$69K | +$660K |
| Jun 2026 | −$72K | +$591K |
| May 2026 | +$55K | +$663K |
| Apr 2026 | +$550K | +$608K |
| Mar 2026 | +$339K | +$58K |
| Feb 2026 | −$243K | −$281K |
| Jan 2026 | −$40K | −$39K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy Herdonia?
Not copyable: market maker.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 6, 2026
- Not a market maker99% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed740 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 40% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 87% of all-time profit
- Enough markets10,020 markets traded
- Winning lately−$377K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$121K all-time
Market maker. 99% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 40% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Speed trader. 740 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.
One big win. 87% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Lions vs. Bills”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Not winning lately. −$377K over the last 90 days. Whatever worked before isn't working now.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it gave back $690K, 92% of its peak profit.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “market maker”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How Herdonia trades
- Fills a day
- 740
- Resting (maker) fills
- 99%
- Median buy price
- 49¢
- Median fill
- $35
- Fills that sell
- 0%
- Open positions
- 0
- Best market's share
- 87%
- Worst drawdown
- $690K
- Weeks in profit
- 54%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Sports100% of gains+$123K
Biggest wins
- Lions vs. BillsBills+$105K
- Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)Chiefs+$98K
- Bengals vs. TexansBengals+$93K
- Lakers vs. PistonsPistons+$80K
- Cavaliers vs. ThunderThunder+$77K
Biggest losses
- Spread: Bills (-7.5)Chargers−$139K
- Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves−$135K
- Bucks vs. ThunderThunder−$134K
- Bucks vs. MagicMagic−$110K
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)Jets−$105K
Latest fills
- BuyTrail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under$5 at 50¢ · Nov 6, 2026
- BuyTrail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under$3 at 50¢ · Nov 6, 2026
- BuyThunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Under$11 at 53¢ · Nov 6, 2026
- BuyThunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Under$11 at 53¢ · Nov 6, 2026
- BuyCeltics vs. HornetsCeltics$4 at 74¢ · Nov 6, 2026
- BuyCeltics vs. HornetsCeltics$6 at 74¢ · Nov 6, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsHerdonia fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
Polyspect
Copy-trading research platform for Polymarket. Ranks 17,000+ traders on six real performance metrics — EV per trade, profit factor, reward/risk, max drawdown, ROI and win rate — reconstructed from raw on-chain fills…
Polytragent
AI research agent for Polymarket. Send any event URL over Telegram and it analyzes every sub-market, cross-references forecasters like Manifold, reviews its own past accuracy and returns edge recommendations in seconds…
CloddsBot
Open-source AI trading agent that runs on your own machine and takes orders in natural language over Telegram, Discord, WebChat and eighteen other channels.fun — plus perpetual-futures exchanges and Solana and EVM DeFi.
Herdonia: questions people ask
- How much has Herdonia made on Polymarket?
- Herdonia has made $121K on Polymarket since January 2026, almost all of it in sports markets: +$121K all-time on $128.5M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$185K.
- How has Herdonia's profit changed over time?
- Herdonia's cumulative PnL went from +$1.4K on Jan 23, 2026 to +$291K on Nov 12, 2026. It peaked at +$723K on May 14, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$576K, from May 14, 2026 to Oct 8, 2026. Best month: Apr 2026 (+$550K); worst: Oct 2026 (−$428K). Up in 6 of 11 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is Herdonia worth copying?
- Not copyable: market maker. 99% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 40% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does Herdonia trade?
- Mostly sports markets — 100% of its profit. It has traded 10,020 markets; its median buy is at 49¢ and its median fill is $35.
- How do I copy Herdonia's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xd106952ebf30a3125affd8a23b6c1f30c35fc79c. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.