The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
Polymarket trader · Politics · since December 2022
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA has made $1.8M on Polymarket since December 2022, most of it in politics markets.
It is trading now — about 41.2 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 1,337 markets traded so far.
Over the last 24 days it made +1.5% on the money it put in; a copier one to two minutes behind, paying the spread and the taker fee, would have made +1.2%.
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA?
Worth copying: a copier one to two minutes behind kept 77% of its 30-day return.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 11, 2026
- Not a market maker91% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed41.2 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 0% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 14% of all-time profit
- Enough markets1,337 markets traded
- Winning lately+$81K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$1.8M all-time
- Survives the copy delayA copier 1–2 min behind: +1.2% over 24 days
Limit orders. 91% of its fills rest on the book. It gets its own price; a copier chasing with market orders pays the spread.
Down this month. −$43K over the last 30 days.
Buys near-certainties. Median buy at 98¢: many small wins, and one miss costs a lot of them.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
Its last 1,000 fills over 24 days, replayed twice: at the prices The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA got, and at the price a copier would get a little later — the market's midpoint plus half a typical spread, plus the taker fee. Same sizes, same exits; open positions valued at today's price (65% of the money went into markets that have already resolved).
| Who | Return | PnL | Paid extra |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | +1.5% | +$20K | — |
| Copier, under a minute behind | +1.2% | +$15K | +0.3¢ / share |
| Copier, 1–2 minutes behind | +1.2% | +$16K | +0.3¢ / share |
| Copier, 5–6 minutes behind | +1.2% | +$16K | +0.3¢ / share |
Copier PnL is at The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA's size, so compare the returns, not the dollars. Not modelled — all in the copier's favour: its own price impact, partial fills, and fills it would have missed.
How The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA trades
- Fills a day
- 41.2
- Resting (maker) fills
- 91%
- Median buy price
- 98¢
- Median fill
- $70
- Fills that sell
- 37%
- Open positions
- 103
- Best market's share
- 14%
- Worst drawdown
- $336K
- Weeks in profit
- 73%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics+$1.0M
- Economics+$448K
- Crypto+$154K
- Finance+$69K
- Tech+$9.4K
- Sports+$5.2K
- Mentions+$491
- Culture−$31K
Biggest wins
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes+$262K
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes+$171K
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes+$158K
- 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes+$137K
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes+$133K
Biggest losses
- Trump and Biden both win nomination?Yes−$171K
- Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?No−$149K
- [Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?No−$110K
- Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?No−$94K
- [Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes−$76K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | 87¢ | 86¢ | $406K | −$5.5K |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No | 97¢ | 99¢ | $227K | +$4.4K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 94¢ | 99¢ | $211K | +$11K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 91¢ | 94¢ | $78K | +$2.4K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 59¢ | 86¢ | $65K | +$20K |
Latest fills
- BuyStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No$266 at 93¢ · Oct 11, 2026
- BuyWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$2.6K at 87¢ · Oct 11, 2026
- BuyUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No$7 at 93¢ · Oct 11, 2026
- BuyStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No$13 at 93¢ · Oct 11, 2026
- SellUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No$4.6K at 87¢ · Oct 11, 2026
- SellWill Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$548 at 0.2¢ · Oct 11, 2026
Copy The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA with
All copy-trading botsAny tool that follows a wallet address can mirror this one — paste 0x0c0e…434e and cap the size of every trade.
PolyBot
Telegram trading bot for Polymarket. Copy top wallets automatically, or build custom strategies with trigger prices, take-profit, stop-loss and trailing stops — orders route through your own non-custodial Safe wallet at a flat 1% fee.
Polyfollow
Automated copy-trading for Polymarket. Follow proven top traders and replicate their positions automatically, so your book tracks theirs without manual order entry.
Ratio
Social prediction-market app for iOS and Android built around copying Polymarket traders. Browse markets, follow forecasters from a global leaderboard, mirror their positions with your own sizing, and read the reasoning they post next to each trade. Wallet tracking, alerts and portfolio analytics sit alongside the feed. The wallet is self-custodial — you hold the keys and can export them — and every trade settles on Polymarket itself, not on Ratio's infrastructure.
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA: questions people ask
- How much has The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA made on Polymarket?
- The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA has made $1.8M on Polymarket since December 2022, most of it in politics markets: +$1.8M all-time on $136.1M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: −$43K.
- Is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA worth copying?
- Worth copying: a copier one to two minutes behind kept 77% of its 30-day return. We replayed its last 24 days of fills at the price a copier would get one to two minutes later, with the spread and the taker fee: +1.2% on money spent, against the wallet's own +1.5%. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 60% of its profit. It has traded 1,337 markets; its median buy is at 98¢ and its median fill is $70.
- How do I copy The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0x0c0e270cf879583d6a0142fc817e05b768d0434e. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 11, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.