rwo
Polymarket trader · Crypto · since October 2024
rwo has made $728K on Polymarket since October 2024, most of it in crypto markets.
It is trading now — about 16.3 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 23,082 markets traded so far.
84% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 76% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy rwo?
Not copyable: market maker.
- Still tradingLast fill Oct 9, 2026
- Not a market maker84% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed16.3 fills a day, 100% in 5–15-minute crypto
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 76% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketBest market is 57% of all-time profit
- Enough markets23,082 markets traded
- Winning lately+$25K over 90 days
- Winning overall+$728K all-time
Market maker. 84% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 76% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Speed trader. 100% of its fills are in 5- and 15-minute crypto windows, where the edge lasts seconds — gone by the time a copy lands.
One big win. 57% of its all-time profit came from a single market — “Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?”. That is one call that paid, not a record to follow.
Down this month. −$7 over the last 30 days.
Holds both sides. Holds both outcomes in 6 open markets — hedges a copy can't mirror.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “market maker”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How rwo trades
- Fills a day
- 16.3
- Resting (maker) fills
- 84%
- Median buy price
- 55¢
- Median fill
- $7
- Fills that sell
- 0%
- Open positions
- 13
- Best market's share
- 57%
- Worst drawdown
- $9.4K
- Weeks in profit
- 77%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Crypto+$631K
- Politics+$35K
- Sports+$33K
- Economics+$7.8K
- Culture+$6.1K
- Finance+$3.7K
- Tech+$2.8K
- Mentions+$515
- Weather−$238
Biggest wins
Biggest losses
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Yes−$150K
- Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes−$125K
- Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes−$111K
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes−$111K
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes−$110K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo | 50¢ | 72¢ | $36K | +$11K |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 50¢ | 66¢ | $33K | +$7.8K |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 50¢ | 64¢ | $32K | +$6.8K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | 50¢ | 62¢ | $31K | +$5.8K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | 50¢ | 39¢ | $19K | −$5.8K |
Latest fills
- SellWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$511 at 35¢ · Oct 9, 2026
- BuyBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETUp$467 at 93¢ · Oct 9, 2026
- SellWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$946 at 64¢ · Oct 9, 2026
- BuyBitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp$9 at 1.7¢ · Sep 8, 2026
- BuyBitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp$22 at 16¢ · Sep 6, 2026
- BuyBitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp$3 at 21¢ · Sep 6, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsrwo fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
Polyspect
Copy-trading research platform for Polymarket. Ranks 17,000+ traders on six real performance metrics — EV per trade, profit factor, reward/risk, max drawdown, ROI and win rate — reconstructed from raw on-chain fills, then lets you paper-trade their strategies before going live.
Polytragent
AI research agent for Polymarket. Send any event URL over Telegram and it analyzes every sub-market, cross-references forecasters like Manifold, reviews its own past accuracy and returns edge recommendations in seconds — plus whale tracking and manual copy-trading.
CloddsBot
Open-source AI trading agent that runs on your own machine and takes orders in natural language over Telegram, Discord, WebChat and eighteen other channels. Powered by Claude, it covers ten prediction markets — Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets, Drift, Manifold, Metaculus, PredictIt, Opinion.xyz and Predict.fun — plus perpetual-futures exchanges and Solana and EVM DeFi. The Polymarket layer is real code rather than a wrapper: an EIP-712 order signer with unit tests, a CLOB client exposing 60-plus methods, real-time data and user WebSocket feeds, a large-trade tracker, and round-based discovery of the 5-minute BTC and the 15-minute, hourly, 4-hour and daily crypto windows with four automated strategies, alongside cross-venue arbitrage detection, copy trading and DCA bots. MIT-licensed at github.com/alsk1992/CloddsBot: 2,700 stars, 460-plus commits from one primary author, v1.9.1 released Sep 12, 2026, installed with one npm command on Node 22.
rwo: questions people ask
- How much has rwo made on Polymarket?
- rwo has made $728K on Polymarket since October 2024, most of it in crypto markets: +$728K all-time on $144.2M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: −$7.
- Is rwo worth copying?
- Not copyable: market maker. 84% of its fills rest on the book, and it buys both outcomes in 76% of its markets. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does rwo trade?
- Mostly crypto markets — 88% of its profit. It has traded 23,082 markets; its median buy is at 55¢ and its median fill is $7.
- How do I copy rwo's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xd189664c5308903476f9f079820431e4fd7d06f4. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Oct 13, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.