Melody626
Polymarket trader · Politics · since January 2024
Melody626 has lost $220K on Polymarket since January 2024.
It is trading now — about 121 fills a day, mostly with limit orders, with 1,566 markets traded so far.
89% of its fills rest on the book, 121 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Melody626's PnL by month
| Month | PnL in month | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2026 | −$191K | −$252K |
| Oct 2026 | +$35K | −$60K |
| Sep 2026 | −$126K | −$95K |
| Aug 2026 | −$113K | +$31K |
| Jul 2026 | −$101K | +$144K |
| Jun 2026 | −$25K | +$245K |
| May 2026 | −$54K | +$270K |
| Apr 2026 | −$78K | +$323K |
| Mar 2026 | −$90K | +$401K |
| Feb 2026 | +$35K | +$491K |
| Jan 2026 | +$120K | +$456K |
| Dec 2025 | −$6.3K | +$337K |
| Nov 2025 | +$4.4K | +$343K |
| Oct 2025 | +$46K | +$339K |
| Sep 2025 | −$12K | +$292K |
| Aug 2025 | +$19K | +$304K |
| Jul 2025 | +$44K | +$285K |
| Jun 2025 | −$32K | +$241K |
| May 2025 | −$41K | +$273K |
| Apr 2025 | −$37K | +$314K |
| Mar 2025 | −$38K | +$351K |
| Feb 2025 | +$76K | +$389K |
| Jan 2025 | +$174K | +$313K |
| Dec 2024 | +$53K | +$139K |
| Nov 2024 | +$53K | +$85K |
| Oct 2024 | −$91 | +$32K |
| Sep 2024 | $0 | +$32K |
| Aug 2024 | −$361 | +$32K |
| Jul 2024 | +$5.6K | +$32K |
| Jun 2024 | $0 | +$27K |
| May 2024 | $0 | +$27K |
| Apr 2024 | −$732 | +$27K |
| Mar 2024 | +$22K | +$27K |
| Feb 2024 | +$3.5K | +$5.2K |
| Jan 2024 | +$1.7K | +$1.7K |
Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.
Should you copy Melody626?
Not copyable: market maker.
- Still tradingLast fill Nov 12, 2026
- Not a market maker89% of fills rest on the book
- Human speed121 fills a day
- Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 9% of its markets
- Not one lucky marketNo profit to concentrate
- Enough markets1,566 markets traded
- Winning lately−$374K over 90 days
- Winning overall−$220K all-time
Market maker. 89% of its fills rest on the book, 121 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead.
Not winning lately. −$374K over the last 90 days. Whatever worked before isn't working now.
Losing overall. −$220K all-time: a good stretch on a losing record.
Deep drawdowns. At its worst it was $750K below its peak — more than its peak profit.
Streaky. Up in only 40% of its recent weeks.
Holds both sides. Holds both outcomes in 5 open markets — hedges a copy can't mirror.
Copy check: what a follower would have made
We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “market maker”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.
How Melody626 trades
- Fills a day
- 121
- Resting (maker) fills
- 89%
- Median buy price
- 60¢
- Median fill
- $32
- Fills that sell
- 11%
- Open positions
- 23
- Best market's share
- —
- Worst drawdown
- $750K
- Weeks in profit
- 40%
Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.
Where the profit comes from
- Politics41% of gains+$107K
- Tech30% of gains+$78K
- Crypto29% of gains+$77K
- Mentions5% of losses−$24K
- Weather6% of losses−$29K
- Economics7% of losses−$36K
- Sports15% of losses−$76K
- Finance17% of losses−$85K
- Culture50% of losses−$250K
Biggest wins
- GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?Yes+$140K
- Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Yes+$126K
- TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes+$95K
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes+$60K
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes+$57K
Largest open positions
| Market | Bought at | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 80¢ | 99¢ | $27K | +$5.1K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | $21K | +$4.3K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes | 86¢ | 99¢ | $13K | +$1.7K |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?No | 74¢ | 99¢ | $8.3K | +$2.1K |
| Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | $7.8K | +$2.9K |
Latest fills
- BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Yes$3.6K at 66¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Yes$584 at 66¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$5 at 63¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Yes$6 at 66¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Yes$68 at 66¢ · Nov 12, 2026
- BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Yes$2 at 66¢ · Nov 12, 2026
Copy-trading tools
All copy-trading botsMelody626 fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.
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PredictEngine
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Polyspect
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Melody626: questions people ask
- How much has Melody626 made on Polymarket?
- Melody626 has lost $220K on Polymarket since January 2024: −$220K all-time on $38.5M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$51K.
- How has Melody626's profit changed over time?
- Melody626's cumulative PnL went from −$5 on Jan 6, 2024 to −$252K on Nov 12, 2026. It peaked at +$491K on Feb 26, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$743K, from Feb 26, 2026 to Nov 12, 2026. Best month: Jan 2025 (+$174K); worst: Nov 2026 (−$191K). Up in 15 of 35 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
- Is Melody626 worth copying?
- Not copyable: market maker. 89% of its fills rest on the book, 121 times a day. It earns the spread and the maker rebates; a copier who takes liquidity pays that spread instead. Past results don't predict future ones.
- What does Melody626 trade?
- Mostly politics markets — 41% of its profit. It has traded 1,566 markets; its median buy is at 60¢ and its median fill is $32.
- How do I copy Melody626's trades?
- Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xecaa8806a9a05049d7d5260a33dc924220e377a9. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.
Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.