How much has cigarettes made on Polymarket?

cigarettes has lost $258K on Polymarket since September 2024: −$258K all-time on $615.9M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$615K.

What does cigarettes trade?

Mostly politics markets — 56% of its profit. It has traded 163,605 markets; its median buy is at 75¢ and its median fill is $19.

How do I copy cigarettes's trades?

Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.

POLBOTS.COM

Speed trader PoliticsDeep drawdownsStreaky

cigarettes

Q: Is cigarettes worth copying?

Not copyable: speed trader. 8,427 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices. Past results don't predict future ones.

Polymarket trader · Politics · since September 2024

cigarettes has lost $258K on Polymarket since September 2024.

It is trading now — about 8,427 fills a day, mostly taking the best available price, with 163,605 markets traded so far.

8,427 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.

Profile on Polymarket Copy check

Profit & loss, all time−$258K

−$188Ksince Sep 24, 2024

$0$500K$1M

−$1.3M drawdownPeak $1.1M

Jul ’25Jan ’26Sep 24, 2024Nov 12, 2026

cigarettes's cumulative PnL went from −$81 on Sep 24, 2024 to −$188K on Nov 12, 2026. It peaked at +$1.1M on Jun 18, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$1.3M, from Jun 18, 2026 to Nov 5, 2026. Best month: Jun 2026 (+$438K); worst: Jul 2026 (−$903K). Up in 19 of 27 months.

cigarettes's PnL by month

Month	PnL in month	Cumulative
Nov 2026	−$178K	−$188K
Oct 2026	−$25K	−$9.6K
Sep 2026	+$5.2K	+$15K
Aug 2026	−$97K	+$9.8K
Jul 2026	−$903K	+$106K
Jun 2026	+$438K	+$1.0M
May 2026	−$24K	+$571K
Apr 2026	+$28K	+$595K
Mar 2026	+$60K	+$567K
Feb 2026	−$155K	+$508K
Jan 2026	+$15K	+$663K
Dec 2025	+$97	+$648K
Nov 2025	+$52K	+$648K
Oct 2025	+$51K	+$595K
Sep 2025	+$37K	+$544K
Aug 2025	+$83K	+$507K
Jul 2025	+$24K	+$424K
Jun 2025	−$795	+$400K
May 2025	+$60K	+$401K
Apr 2025	+$48K	+$340K
Mar 2025	+$3.1K	+$293K
Feb 2025	+$64K	+$290K
Jan 2025	+$24K	+$226K
Dec 2024	+$96K	+$202K
Nov 2024	+$89K	+$106K
Oct 2024	+$18K	+$17K
Sep 2024	−$58	−$139

Weekly points from Polymarket's profile chart, which counts before taker fees; the headline figure is the leaderboard's, after fees.

All-time PnL−$258K

30-day PnL+$615K

Volume$615.9M

Markets traded163,605

Should you copy cigarettes?

Not copyable: speed trader.

Still tradingLast fill Nov 12, 2026
Not a market maker41% of fills rest on the book
Human speed8,427 fills a day
Takes one sideBuys both outcomes in 14% of its markets
Not one lucky marketNo profit to concentrate
Enough markets163,605 markets traded
Winning lately−$208K over 90 days
Winning overall−$258K all-time

Speed trader. 8,427 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices.

Not winning lately. −$208K over the last 90 days. Whatever worked before isn't working now.

Losing overall. −$258K all-time: a good stretch on a losing record.

Deep drawdowns. At its worst it was $1.4M below its peak — more than its peak profit.

Streaky. Up in only 38% of its recent weeks.

Copy check: what a follower would have made

We only replay wallets that pass the structural checks above — this one fails on “speed trader”, so a copy would be off before the first fill. See the wallets that pass.

How cigarettes trades

Fills a day: 8,427
Resting (maker) fills: 41%
Median buy price: 75¢
Median fill: $19
Fills that sell: 0%
Open positions: 411
Best market's share: —
Worst drawdown: $1.4M
Weeks in profit: 38%

Fill statistics cover the last 90 days (its latest 1,000 fills); maker share, its latest 500 fills.

Where the profit comes from

Politics56% of gains+$291K
Economics28% of gains+$143K
Finance8% of gains+$41K
Culture4% of gains+$20K
Tech3% of gains+$17K
Crypto1% of gains+$3.8K
Weather<1% of gains+$1.1K
Mentions<1% of gains+$5
Sports100% of losses−$458K

Biggest wins

Biggest losses

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?No−$2.7M
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No−$1.6M
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No−$1.2M
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No−$958K
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?No−$770K

Largest open positions

Market	Bought at	Now	Value	PnL
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes	98¢	99¢	$28K	+$193
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Yes	50¢	67¢	$8.2K	+$2.0K
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No	82¢	97¢	$7.5K	+$1.2K
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes	90¢	97¢	$5.6K	+$426
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes	19¢	27¢	$3.7K	+$1.1K

Latest fills

BuyWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 12?No$89 at 99¢ · Nov 12, 2026
BuyWill Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026?Yes$5 at 53¢ · Nov 12, 2026
BuyWill Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be above $4T at the end of 2026?Yes$5 at 45¢ · Nov 12, 2026
BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Yes$7 at 100¢ · Nov 12, 2026
BuyWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes$10 at 3.4¢ · Nov 12, 2026
BuyJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026?Yes$4 at 100¢ · Nov 12, 2026

Copy-trading tools

All copy-trading bots

cigarettes fails our checks, but these tools can follow any wallet — start from one that passes.

PolyTraderBot

Copy Trading

Six self-hosted Polymarket bots from one developer, sold separately at $10 a month each and delivered as full source with a browser dashboard, tests and a Docker setup for your own PC or VPS.

Bot$10/mo per bot

PolyBot

Copy Trading

Telegram trading bot for Polymarket. Copy top wallets automatically, or build custom strategies with trigger prices, take-profit, stop-loss and trailing stops — orders route through your own non-custodial Safe wallet at…

Bot1% per trade

Polyfollow

Copy Trading

Automated copy-trading for Polymarket. Follow proven top traders and replicate their positions automatically, so your book tracks theirs without manual order entry.

Platformfree

cigarettes: questions people ask

How much has cigarettes made on Polymarket?: cigarettes has lost $258K on Polymarket since September 2024: −$258K all-time on $615.9M of volume, by Polymarket's leaderboard (after fees, before rebates). Over the last 30 days: +$615K.
How has cigarettes's profit changed over time?: cigarettes's cumulative PnL went from −$81 on Sep 24, 2024 to −$188K on Nov 12, 2026. It peaked at +$1.1M on Jun 18, 2026; the deepest drawdown was −$1.3M, from Jun 18, 2026 to Nov 5, 2026. Best month: Jun 2026 (+$438K); worst: Jul 2026 (−$903K). Up in 19 of 27 months. Figures are from Polymarket's profile chart, before taker fees.
Is cigarettes worth copying?: Not copyable: speed trader. 8,427 fills a day — faster than a copier can follow at the same prices. Past results don't predict future ones.
What does cigarettes trade?: Mostly politics markets — 56% of its profit. It has traded 163,605 markets; its median buy is at 75¢ and its median fill is $19.
How do I copy cigarettes's trades?: Any Polymarket copy-trading tool that follows a wallet address can mirror it — the address is 0xd218e474776403a330142299f7796e8ba32eb5c9. Set a per-trade cap and a slippage limit before you start: a copy always fills later, and usually worse, than the original.

Public on-chain data from Polymarket's Data API, checked Nov 12, 2026. POLBOTS is not affiliated with this trader or with Polymarket. Nothing here is financial advice; past results don't predict future ones.